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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen


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BTC and XRP – Corrections might have ended but further confirmation still needed

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BTC/USD

The price of Bitcoins has been moving sideways in the last couple of days after it made a spike to the upside to $38,637 at its highest point. This increase of around 31.9% came after the price tested the descending triangles support level and was the impulsive move that made a breakout from the triangles on the upside.
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As you can see from the hourly chart after a breakout was made the price fell back and retested the triangle’s resistance level for support, which was a pullback to $32,213. Support was present at those levels which is why we have seen further increase but the price didn’t manage to move back up for a higher high compared to the local one.

Even though the breakout was made this increase could still be part of the same correctional structure that started on the 10th of January after the all-time high was made. If this is true then the price is now headed further down for the formation of the Z wave of the complex correction count.

Another possibility would be that the correction ended on the 27th of January in which case this impulse was to be the first wave from the next starting impulse. As the price is now in a downward trajectory we are going to see which count gets validated. If the price continues moving down and enters the territory of the descending triangle then it would be the first bearish one, but if it finds support and continues increasing, further price appreciation would look more likely.

XRP/USD

The price of Ripple has spiked to the $0.755 level yesterday coming from $0.3895 at its lowest point on Sunday, which was an increase of 93.84%. But after the increase ended the price was set in a downfall of 54%, coming to $0.3465 at its lowest point today. Since then recovery has been seen with the price moving sharply to the upside and is currently being traded just slightly below the $0.4 level.
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On the hourly chart, you can see that the price fell below the 0.618 Fibonacci level but now managed to pull back above it. The previous upside move was the ending of the five-wave impulse that started before the new year which is why we have seen a retracement. If this impulse was the first wave after the larger correction ended, the price of Ripple is now headed further to the upside but considering the amount of the decrease we have seen since yesterday we are yet to see if the bullish interest is still present.

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EUR/USD Remains at Risk, USD/CHF Gains Bullish Momentum

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EUR/USD failed to continue higher and declined below 1.2100. USD/CHF is gaining bullish momentum and it is trading nicely above 0.8900.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF

  • The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.2120 and 1.2080 support levels against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2065 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  • USD/CHF started a strong increase and climbed above the 0.8900 resistance zone.
  • There is a short-term expanding triangle forming with support near 0.8950 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro failed on many occasions to clear the 1.2200 resistance zone against the US Dollar. As a result, the EUR/USD pair started a fresh decline below the 1.2150 and 1.2120 support levels.

The pair even broke the 1.2080 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It cleared the key 1.2055 support zone and traded as low as 1.2011 on FXOpen.
eurusd-chart.png

EUR/USD is currently correcting higher and trading above 1.2025. It is testing the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2086 high to 1.2011 low. On the upside, the first resistance is near the 1.2055 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2065 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The trend line is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2086 high to 1.2011 low.

A successful break above the 1.2065 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average is must for a steady recovery in the near term.

Conversely, the pair could start a fresh decline from 1.2055. An initial support is near the 1.2025 level. The next major support is near the 1.2000 zone. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.1950 zone.

USD/CHF Technical Analysis

The US Dollar started a steady increase from the 0.8850 support zone against the Swiss franc. The USD/CHF pair broke many important hurdles near 0.8900 to move into a positive zone.

It even cleared the 0.8950 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair traded close to the 0.9000 level and traded as high as 0.8994. It is currently correcting gains and trading below the 0.8980 level.
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USD/CHF is testing the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 0.8948 swing low to 0.8994 high. The next major support on the downside is near the 0.8960 level or the 50 hourly simple moving average.

There is also a short-term expanding triangle forming with support near 0.8950 on the hourly chart. As long as USD/CHF is above the triangle support, it could climb back towards the 0.9000 resistance level in the near term. The next key resistance could be near the 0.9040 level.

On the downside, the main support is near the 0.8945 level. If the pair fails to stay above the 0.8955 and 0.8945 support levels, there is a risk of a larger decline.

In the stated case, USD/CHF could decline towards the 0.8920 support. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support near the 0.8900 on the same chart, where the bulls are likely to take a strong stand.

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10 Best Forex Trading App in 2021

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The foreign exchange market is fast-moving, ever-changing and highly competitive. It’s the world’s largest market with a turnover of over $5 trillion per day. A trading platform is a core instrument that lets investors and traders open, manage and close market positions. Nowadays, it’s easier to get access to real-time updates on Forex anytime and anywhere thanks to the increased availability of mobile Forex trading apps. Their major strengths are high efficiency, low-performance requirements, and ease of use.

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LTC and EOS – Pullback or the begging of a downtrend?

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LTC/USD

The price of Litecoin has been in a decline from today’s open at $159 which was its highest point so far. It made a decrease of 9.67% at its lowest today but is currently being traded slightly high at is sitting at around $149.11.
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On the hourly chart, you can see that today’s open the high made after a breakout from the descending triangle in which the price was since the 10th of January. The price fell from its high of $185.8 to the horizontal support level at $122 on three occasions and after the third test, a higher high was made and then finally a breakout to the upside on Tuesday. As the price continued making a higher high it exceeded the $155 horizontal level which was the mid-range of the correctional structure in the descending triangle but failed to go above the midpoint high at $166.7 before making a pullback.

If the prior correction ended with the breakout being the continuation of the uptrend of the higher degree, then the current retracement would be only a local one.  In that case from the 27th of January when another retest of the significant horizontal level at the $120 zone was made we have seen the start of the next five-wave impulse with the breakout wave being its 3rd. Now as the price is going to the downside it should find support on the ending point of the assumed 1st wave which is at $146. This was tested today with the price action showing a wick on the hourly chart it appears that support is present at those level.

However if the price continues to move further to the downside it could mean that this increase seen with a breakout to the upside was the continuation of the corrective count.

EOS/USD

From its highest point on Monday at $3.2787, the price of EOS has fallen by 11.75% on the same day and enter a recovery since. It reached $3.15 yesterday which could have been the end of the recovery as it started decreasing again and is currently being traded just above $3.
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As you can see from the hourly chart the price made a breakout below its ascending trendline that dates from the 27th of January. This ascending trendline is the 3rd wave from the upward move that starts on the 22nd of January, but it is still unclear whether or not it is an impulse or a corrective count. Judging by the wave personality it looks more corrective at this point which is why I’ve labeled it as an ABC. This is soon going to be validated as if the price continued moving to the downside below the $2.88 zone it could very well mean that we have seen the correctional ABC count.

This forecast represents FXOpen Markets Limited opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Markets Limited products and services or as financial advice.

Cryptocurrency CFDs are not available to trade in all jurisdictions.

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AUD/USD and NZD/USD Signaling More Losses

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AUD/USD is slowly moving lower and it is now trading well below 0.7650. NZD/USD is also declining and it seems like it could revisit the 0.7100 support zone.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

  • The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.7700 and 0.7650 support levels against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7615 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
  • NZD/USD is also moving lower and it is now trading below the 0.7200 support level.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support near 0.7160 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

After struggling to gain momentum above the 0.7750 level, the Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair broke the 0.7700 support level to move into a bearish zone.

The pair even cleared the 0.7650 support level and settled below the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near 0.7563 on FXOpen before the pair corrected higher. It recovered above the 0.7600 level, but there was no clear break above 0.7650.
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As a result, the pair started a fresh decline below the 0.7620 support. The pair even traded below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7563 low to 0.7647 high.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7615 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. It is now testing the 0.7585 support, which is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7563 low to 0.7647 high.

If there is a downside break, the pair could test the 0.7550 support. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a push towards the 0.7500 level.

On the upside, the 0.7615 level is a major resistance along with the 50 hourly simple moving average. A clear break above the 0.7615 and 0.7620 levels may possibly open the doors for a fresh increase towards 0.7700 in the coming sessions.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis

The New Zealand Dollar also followed a similar path after it failed to clear the 0.7220 resistance against the US Dollar. The NZD/USD pair broke the 0.7200 support level to start the current decline.

The pair broke the 0.7180 support level and settled well below the 50 hourly simple moving average. There was also a break below a major bullish trend line with support near 0.7160 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.
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The pair is now trading below the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7135 low to 0.7225 high. It is testing the last swing low at 0.7135 and it is likely to continue lower.

The next key support is near the 0.7110 level. It is close to the 1.236 Fib extension level of the upward move from the 0.7135 low to 0.7225 high. Any more losses could push the pair below the 0.7100 support level.

Conversely, the pair could attempt to correct higher above the 0.7155 and 0.7160 resistance levels. The main resistance is near the 0.7200 zone. A clear break and close above the 0.7200 level could increase the chances of more gains above the 0.7220 resistance.

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GBP/USD and GBP/JPY: British Pound Eyes More Upsides

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GBP/USD remained strong above 1.3700, but it is facing hurdles near 1.3750. GBP/JPY is gaining momentum and it is trading well above 144.00.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY

  • The British Pound settled above the 1.3700 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
  • There is a rising channel forming with support near 1.3718 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • GBP/JPY gained momentum after it broke 143.80 and 144.00.
  • There was a break below a major declining channel with resistance near 143.30 on the hourly chart.

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis
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The British Pound started a strong increase from the 142.80 swing low against the Japanese Yen. The GBP/JPY pair traded above the 143.20 and 143.50 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

There break below a major declining channel with resistance near 143.30 on the hourly chart. The pair settled nicely above the 144.00 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair even cleared the 144.50 resistance zone and it traded close to the 145.00.

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Weak NFP Report Responsible for USD Bullish Trend Reversal

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The U.S. dollar traded with a bullish tone since the start of the trading year. While the move higher is not visible on all markets, the most relevant is the EURUSD as the pair eased from 1.23 to 1.20 in less than a month. Because the Euro has the bigger weight in the dollar index, it led to the dollar rallying against other currencies and even against gold.

However, last Friday the USD reversed course. The February NFP report showed that the U.S. economy added 49k jobs in January. While that was positive, as well as the fact that the unemployment rate dropped to 6.3%, the market sold the USD because the December data was revised lower.

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BTC and XRP – Bullish momentum confirmed

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BTC/USD

The price of Bitcoin has broken out from its prior resistance and impulsively came to $48,200 at its highest point today. From its lowest point on Sunda when it was sitting around $37,430, this is an increase of 28%. Currently, a minor retracement is being made with the price sitting at $46,604 but is still in an upward trajectoty.

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This breakout indicates that the prior correctional formation from the 10th of January has ended and now we have a clear confirmation with the bullish momentum indicating a strong uptrend continuation. After the five-wave move inside the ascending channel was ended we have seen a minor pullback but an immediate breakout to the upside. This was most likely the 3rd sub-wave of the higher degree 3rd wave which is why further upside movement would now be expected.

As the price is to develop its five-wave pattern further higher highs could be seen in the upcoming days with potentially exceeding the $60,000 mark by the end of its development. However not that an impulsive breakout has seen a local correction might form as the 4th wave should develop before further upside. It is still unclear where the 4th wave could land but most likely we are going to see a retest of the prior all-time high before uptrend continuation.

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EUR/USD Showing Positive Signs, USD/JPY Turns Red

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EUR/USD started a fresh increase after testing the 1.1950 support zone. USD/JPY declined below the 105.00 support and tested the 104.50 zone.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

  • The Euro found support near the 1.1950 region and it started a fresh increase above 1.2050.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2100 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  • USD/JPY declined heavily below the 105.20 and 105.00 support levels.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 105.30 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis
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This past week, the Euro declined below the 1.2050 and 1.2000 support levels against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair traded close to the 1.1950 zone, where it found support.

A low was formed near 1.1952 on FXOpen before the pair started a fresh increase. It climbed back above the 1.2000 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. There was also a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2155 swing high to 1.1952 low.

It is now trading above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2155 swing high to 1.1952 low. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2100 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.2120 level. The main resistance is near the 1.2155, above which EUR/USD is likely to accelerate higher towards the 1.2200 resistance area.

Conversely, the pair could start a fresh decline below the 1.2100 support and the trend line. The first major support is near the 1.2075 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

If there is a downside break below the 50 hourly simple moving average, the pair could dive towards the 1.2000 handle in the near term. Any more losses might call for a retest of the 1.1950 support level.

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LTC and EOS – Resistance seen but for how long?

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LTC/USD

The price of Litecoin has been increasing in the past week, and from last Thursday when it was sitting at $141.27 at its lowest, we have seen an increase of 37.8$ measured to its highest point yesterday at $194.31. Since then the price made a pullback to $170.54 but is again back in an upward trajectory, currently sitting at $188.
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On the hourly chart, we can see that the price broke the prior high made on the 10th of January when the price of Litecoin was sitting at $185.58. This confirmed the impulsiveness behind the move and that the previous correction ended at $118. We have seen the development of the 3rd sub-wave of the higher degree impulse which is why further upside would be expected. However if yesterday’s high was the end of the 3rd wave, now the price might be set for a local correction.

Wave 4 should develop optimally to the 0.382 Fibonacci level which would bring the price of Litecoin to $165. But when the price tested prior resistance for support and confirms the bullish interest it is likely to continue moving past yesterday’s high and end around $230 before the completion of this five-wave move.

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Gold Price Starts Fresh Decline, Oil Price Correcting Gains

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Gold price failed to clear the $1,855 resistance and started a fresh decline. Crude oil price is correcting gains and it might test the $57.00 support zone.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

  • Gold price started a fresh increase, but it failed near $1,855 and $1,860 resistance levels against the US Dollar.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support near $1,838 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price traded to a new multi-month high near $58.75 before correcting lower.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near $58.20 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis
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Gold price started a decent recovery wave from the $1,785 zone against the US Dollar. The price climbed above the $1,820 and $1,840 resistance levels.

However, the price struggled to clear the $1,855 and $1,860 resistance levels. A high was formed near $1,855 before the price started a fresh decline. There was a break below the $1,840 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

The price traded below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,784 swing low to $1,855 high. There was also a break below a major bullish trend line with support near $1,838 on the hourly chart of gold.

The price is now approaching the $1,820 support zone. The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,784 swing low to $1,855 high is also near the $1,820 level.

If there is a downside break below the $1,820 support level, the price might continue to move down towards the $1,800 level. Any more losses could lead the price towards the $1,784 swing low.

On the upside, the price is likely to face resistance near the $1,830 level. The next major resistance is probably forming near the $1,840 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.


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GBP/USD and EUR/GBP: British Pound Gains Momentum

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GBP/USD is gaining bullish momentum above the 1.3800 and 1.3840 resistance levels. EUR/GBP is declining and it broke a major support at 0.8745.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

  • The British Pound started a strong increase above the 1.3800 resistance zone.
  • There was a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near 1.3790 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • EUR/GBP started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the main 0.8800 resistance zone.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 0.8760 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

gbpusd-chart-2.png

After forming a base above the 1.3750 and 1.3780, there was a fresh increase in the British Pound against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair broke the 1.3800 and 1.3840 resistance levels to move further into a positive zone.

Moreover, there was a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near 1.3790 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. The pair strength and it was able to clear the 1.3850 resistance level.

There was also a break above the 1.3880 level and the pair settled nicely above the 50 hourly simple moving average. A new multi-month high is formed near 1.3901 on FXOpen and the pair is currently consolidating gains.

An initial support on the downside is near the 1.3880 level. The first key support is near the 1.3870 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3775 low to 1.3901 high.

The next key support is near the 1.3850 level. Any more losses may possibly lead the pair towards the 1.3840 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3775 low to 1.3901 high.

On the upside, the 1.3900 level is a short-term resistance. A close above the 1.3900 level will most likely set the pace for a move towards the 1.4000 level in the near term.


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Equity Indices Remain Bid as America Awaits New Fiscal Stimulus

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Last week brought little or no movements on the financial markets. The VIX index, which measures volatility, dropped to levels not seen so far during the pandemic.

The lack of important economic data contributed to this environment. With a few exceptions, like the CPI or the inflation data in the United States, all other data was second- or third-tier. Effectively, it means that the focus was on the stock market’s price action. This week will likely be the same as it starts with a holiday (i.e., Presidents’ Day in the United States) and no important data until next Friday when the European PMIs are released.

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BTC and XRP – New highs expected

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BTC/USD

The price of Bitcoin has continued its upward trajectory from last Monday and came up from $37,691 at its lowest point to $49,808 at its highest point on Sunday which was an increase of 32.15%. From Sunday’s high, we have seen a pullback to the $46,000 zone but the price is now once again in an upward trajectory. Currently, it is sitting just slightly above $49,000 mark and is testing its horizontal resistance.

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On the hourly chart, you can see that this rise is the next developing 5th wave from the higher degree impulse and from the lower degree one as well. This is why further upside would be expected but is most likely the ending wave from the rise that started on the 27th of January.

The price has been forming an ascending triangle from the 9th of February when the 3rd impulse wave was formed out of the lower degree. Now as the price has reached the apex of the triangle and then retraced back it appears that it made the completion of the 4th wave corrective structure.

If this is true now another impulse to the upside has started with the price leading towards a new all-time high, potentially above $52,000.

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EUR/USD and EUR/JPY: Euro Holding Key Supports

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EUR/USD declined from the 1.2170 zone, but it is holding the 1.2080 support. EUR/JPY climbed higher towards 128.50 and it is currently correcting gains.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

  • The Euro spiked above the 1.2150 resistance, but it struggled to clear 1.2170.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support near 1.2135 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  • EUR/JPY started a strong increase above the 126.50 and 127.80 resistance levels.
  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 127.70 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

In the past few days, the Euro remained stable above the 1.2050 and 1.2080 support levels against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair even made an attempt to gain strength above the 1.2150 resistance level.

The pair spiked above 1.2150 and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. However, it failed to continue higher above the 1.2170 level. A high was formed near 1.2169 on FXOpen before the pair started a fresh decline.

eurusd-chart-2.png

There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support near 1.2135 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The pair even broke the 1.2100 support and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

It found support near the 1.2080 zone and traded as low as 1.2083. It is currently consolidating losses above the 1.2080 support level. An initial resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2169 high to 1.2083 low at 1.2100.

The next major resistance is near the 1.2125 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.2169 high to 1.2083 low. Any more gains could open the doors for a fresh increase above 1.2150.

If EUR/USD fails to recover, it could break the 1.2080 support level. The next major support is near the 1.2050 level, below which the pair could dive towards the 1.2000 support level.

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LTC and EOS – Correction soon to come?

ltc-1.jpg

LTC/USD

The price of Litecoin continued increasing since last week. From its lowest point last Thursday when it was sitting at $175.78 we have seen an increase of 36.57% measured to its highest point today at $240. Currently, it is being traded just below $230, but the price is in an upward trajectory overall.

ltcusd-1h-2.png

Looking at the hourly chart, you can see that the price of Litecoin was in an upward trajectory from the 27th of January when it made the second test of the horizontal support level which was the lower level of the descending triangle in which it was correcting.  As a breakout was made in early February it set the price for a higher high than in January. This is the development of the next five-wave move to the upside.

There is still more room to go before the end of this five-wave impulse but it is still unclear where the price increase could end. If the 3rd wave ended on the $194.31 level then currently we are seeing the development of the final wave’s 3rd sub-wave. In that case, another leg up would be expected of the lower degree. But if the 3rd wave of the higher degree count ended on yesterday’s high, then the price of Litecoin has more increasing potential.

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Gold Price Extends Decline, Oil Price Trimming Gains

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Gold price struggled to clear $1,850 and started a fresh decline below $1,800. Crude oil price traded to a new multi-month high at $62.21 before starting a downside correction.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

  • Gold price failed to gain momentum and declined below $1,800 against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,795 on the hourly chart of gold.
  • Crude oil price traded to a new multi-month high near $62.21 before correcting lower.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support near $61.20 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

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Gold price failed to clear the $1,850 and $1,855 resistance levels against the US Dollar. As a result, there was a fresh decline below the $1,825 and $1,820 support levels.

The price gained bearish momentum below the $1,800 support and it even settled well below the 50 hourly simple moving average. It traded as low as $1,760 on FXOpen and it is currently consolidating losses.

An initial resistance on the upside is near the $1,775 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,826 swing high to $1,760 low.

The first major resistance is near the $1,780 level or the 50 hourly simple moving average. The next major resistance is near the $1,795 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,795 on the hourly chart of gold.

The trend line resistance is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,826 swing high to $1,760 low. Therefore, the price might struggle to clear the $1,795 and $1,800 resistance levels in the near term.

On the downside, the first major support is near the $1,760 level. The next major support is near the $1,750 level. Any more losses might call for a move towards the $1,720 support level.

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GBP/USD Climbs above 1.4000, USD/CAD Turns Red

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GBP/USD gained momentum above the 1.3900 resistance and it even broke 1.4000. USD/CAD is declining and it traded below the 1.2650 support zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD

  • The British Pound started a steady increase above the 1.3950 and 1.4000 resistance levels.
  • There is a key rising channel forming with support near 1.4000 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • USD/CAD started a steady decline below the 1.2700 and 1.2650 support levels.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2710 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

After forming a base above the 1.3800 level, the British Pound extended its increase against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair broke the 1.3900 resistance level to move further into a positive zone.

The bulls gained pace above the 1.3920 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. As a result, there was a clear break above the key 1.4000 resistance level. The pair traded to a new yearly high at 1.4051 on FXOpen and it is currently correcting lower.

gbpusd-chart-3.png

There was a break below the 1.4020 support level. The pair traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 1.3952 swing low to 1.4051 high.

On the downside, the first key support is near the 1.4000 area. There is also a key rising channel forming with support near 1.4000 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 1.3952 swing low to 1.4051 high.

If there is a break below 1.4010 and 1.4000, the pair could decline towards the 1.3980 support zone or the 50 hourly simple moving average. Any more losses might call for a test of 1.3920.

On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.4040 level. The main resistance is now near the 1.4050 zone, above which the pair is likely to accelerate higher towards the 1.4100 and 1.4120 levels.

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Bitcoin Surge Continues as More Institutional Investors Turn to Digital Assets

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The price of Bitcoin reached $57,000 over the weekend. The extent of the current bull run is so aggressive that earlier forecasts that Bitcoin will reach 200k and more in less than a year do not sound improbable anymore.

If that is going to be the case, it remains to be seen. What is important now is that the price of Bitcoin is disconnected completely from reality in the sense that the technology itself has no use and that the asset is purely speculative.

Why Do People Turn to Cryptocurrencies?

Distrust in the financial system appears to be the main reason. People are sick-entire of the same old “medicine” applied to broken economies (i.e., printing more money to solve for either excessive debt or economic recessions.

And they are right. Unfortunately, so are the policymakers. No one wished for two economic recessions less than ten years apart, but here we are. Moreover, the current one is far more impactful when compared to the 2008-2009 Great Financial Crisis for the simple reason that the health crisis affected the entire world and not just parts of it.

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BTC and XRP – Correction or the end of the increase altogether?

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BTC/USD

From its all-time high at $58,360, the price of Bitcoin has made a decrease of 22.8% today as it fell to $45,058 at its lowest spike. Currently, it is being traded at $47,251 and the price is in a steep downward trajectory.

btcusd-1h-3.png

Looking at the hourly chart, we can see that the price ended its 3rd wave out of the impulse that started on the 27th of January. This is why the seen decrease is still considered correctional in nature but is still unclear where this downfall could end. If this is the developing 4th wave would have seen its first sub-wave which is why now a short-term recovery would be expected.

But after a short-term recovery, we can see its 3rd sub-wave making a lower low, potentially somewhere around its all-time high of $40,000. But if the price goes to those levels it could indicate the possibility that the upward move has ended altogether.  If this is true then we have seen the completion of the five-wave impulse at the $58,000 area in which case now a longer-term correction could play out.

For the signs of confirmation, we are going to look at what happens at the current levels as if this is the 4th wave the price should start an immediate recovery. But if it continues moving to the downside further in a straight line the second scenario would look more likely.

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EUR/USD and USD/CHF Showing Signs of More Upsides

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EUR/USD settled above 1.2100 and it is now facing hurdles near 1.2200. USD/CHF is rising and it is likely to accelerate higher above 0.9065.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF

  • The Euro started a fresh increase above the 1.2100 and 1.2120 resistance levels against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2140 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  • USD/CHF started a steady increase and climbed above the 0.9000 resistance zone.
  • There was a break above a major rising channel with resistance near 0.9045 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro remained stable above the 1.2000 support and it started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair broke the 1.2100 and 1.2120 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

The pair even broke the 1.2150 resistance and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. It traded as high as 1.2179 on FXOpen and it is currently consolidating gains. It corrected below 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 1.2091 low to 1.2179 high.

eurusd-chart-3.png

However, the pair found a strong support near the 1.2135 level. It coincides with the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 1.2091 low to 1.2179 high.

There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2140 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The pair is now trading nicely above 1.2140 and the 50 hourly simple moving average. If there is a downside break below the trend line support, there could be a sharp decline below 1.2120.

The next key support is near the 1.2100 level, below which EUR/USD could decline towards the 1.2040 support. Conversely, the pair could rise further above 1.2180.

A successful break above the 1.2180 and 1.2200 resistance levels could lead the pair towards the 1.2250 and 1.2280 levels in the near term.

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LTC and EOS – Further downside more likely

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LTC/USD

The price of Litecoin has been in a decline from Saturday’s high when it came up to  $247. From there we have seen a downfall of 35.8% measured to its lowest point of the week made on Tuesday at $158.56. We have seen a minor recovery as the price made a rise to the $190 area but has since pulled back again and is currently sitting just below $180.

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Looking at the hourly chart, you can see that the price of Litecoin has fallen back to the 0.236 Fib level which was the horizontal resistance point of the prior high made on the 10th of January. It dipped below it which could serve as an early indication that the previous uptrend ended, but it managed to go back above it and is currently testing it for support. If the support gets validated at these levels we could see further uptrend continuation of the impulse wave that started on the 27th of January.

However, if the price continues moving to the downside again and makes it into the lower range it would be a stronger indication that the price of Litecoin has ended its previous impulsive move and is now headed towards a correction of the higher degree out of which the downfall from last Saturday was only its 1st sub-wave.

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EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY Approaching Important Supports

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The Euro and British Pound started a steady increase in the past few days against the Japanese Yen. Both EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are correcting gains, but approaching important supports.

Important Takeaways for EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY

  • The Euro gained pace above 129.00 before correcting lower against the Japanese Yen.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 129.10 on the hourly chart of EUR/JPY.
  • GBP/JPY spiked above the main 150.00 resistance before correcting lower.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 148.75 on the hourly chart.

EUR/JPY Technical Analysis

eurjpy-chart-1.png

After forming a base above the 127.50 level, the Euro started a steady increase against the Japanese Yen. The EUR/JPY pair broke many hurdles near the 128.50 level to move into a positive zone.

There was also a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near 128.00 on the hourly chart of EUR/JPY. The pair surged above the 129.00 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It traded to a new monthly high at 129.97 on FXOpen and it is currently correcting gains.

There was a break below the 129.50 support. The pair broke the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 127.70 swing low to 129.97 high. There was also a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 129.10 on the same chart.

The pair is now approaching the 128.80 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 127.70 swing low to 129.97 high is also near the 128.82 level.

If there is a downside break below the 128.80 support, the pair could continue to move down towards the 128.40 support. Conversely, it might start a fresh increase from 128.80.

An initial resistance on the upside is near the 129.20 level. The main resistance sits at 129.50, above which the pair could rise towards the 130.00 level.

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GBP/USD and EUR/GBP: British Pound Corrects Gains

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GBP/USD rallied above the 1.4200 level before correcting lower. EUR/GBP is declining, but it is might find bids near the 0.8635 zone in the near term.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

  • The British Pound surged above the 1.4200 level and recently corrected lower.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4140 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  • EUR/GBP climbed above the 0.8700 level before it faced sellers and corrected lower.
  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 0.8660 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

gbpusd-chart.png

After a successful close above the 1.4000 level, the British Pound started a strong increase against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair a few key hurdles near 1.4080 and 1.4100 to move further into a positive zone.

The pair climbed above the 1.4200 level and traded close to 1.4240 on FXOpen. Recently, there was a downside correction, and the pair declined below the 1.4100 support zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

There was also a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4140 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. The pair even broke the 1.4000 support and traded as low as 1.3887. It is currently consolidating and trading above the 1.3950 level.

There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4181 high to 1.3887 low. The first major resistance on the upside is near the 1.4040 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4181 high to 1.3887 low is also near the 1.4040 level. A successful break above the 1.4040 level and the 50 hourly SMA could open the doors for a fresh increase. In the stated case, the pair could revisit the 1.4150 level.

On the downside, the 1.3950 level is a decent support. The next major support sits near the 1.3900 level, below which the pair could slide towards the 1.3820 level.

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