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Daily Forex News by XtreamForex.com

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GBP/USD falls from 1.3080 as the DXY declines on improved risk appetite

The GBP/USD pair has seen some hefty bids at 1.3080 as investors’ risk appetite improves and risk-perceived assets acquire more demand. Previously, the cable underperformed despite the Bank of England’s tightening monetary policies (BOE). To counteract rising inflation, the Bank of England raised interest rates to 0.75 percent. The central bank increased its benchmark interest rate three times in a row, each time by 25 basis points (bps). In addition, the UK’s Office for National Statistics published the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 6.2 percent, which was much higher than market expectations and prior readings of 5.9 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively. A higher-than-expected report of UK inflation may drive the BOE to raise interest rates again in May.

The US dollar index (DXY) has hit a roadblock after failing to set a new nine-month high and is on the danger of falling below 99.00. The DXY has been pounded at 99.30 due to an increase in risk appetite following the absence of three major Moscow demands: denazification, demilitarization, and legal protection for the Russian language in Ukraine. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield is hanging around 2.46 percent ahead of the release of US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday. The early estimate of US NFP at 475K is a considerable decrease from the prior print of 678K.

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XAU/USD pair remains bullish as the US currency continues to fall

The gold price is rising as the US currency and US yields fall. The 10-year yield is down almost 2% on the day, while the DXY index, which measures the US dollar against a basket of currencies, is down about 0.3 percent at the time of writing. Russia has promised to pull back military activities near Ukraine’s capital and north, while Kyiv has recommended that Ukraine join the EU while remaining neutral by not joining NATO.

“Talks were fruitful enough for Putin and Zelensky to meet,” said Ukrainian presidential advisor Mykhailo Podolyak. “We have documentation ready today that will allow the presidents to meet bilaterally,” he added. However, overall, movement has been very subdued. This suggests that the Russia-Ukraine conflict is not as priced in as some may have expected, or that markets are not fully buying it. Markets have been up and down in the previous 24 hours. The most important event, however, was the increase in 2Y UST rates to 2.45 percent yesterday, as well as yield curve inversions.

Market investors have pounced on gold (XAU/USD) as safe-haven assets lose attractiveness as peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine continue. This week, the precious metal fell precipitously after failing to hold above the $1,950.00 level. Despite a response purchase just below $1,900, gold prices have risen to about $1,920.00. The Russian government has ignored the opening step of a ceasefire with Ukraine and has evacuated its soldiers from northern Ukraine and Kyiv. While Ukraine has declared itself neutral and has elected not to join the NATO alliance.

Moscow and Kyiv’s opening move toward a ceasefire plan has lifted market mood. Risky assets are gaining momentum in the midst of a strong risk-on drive. Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has been subjected to a barrage of selling in safe-haven assets. The DXY is retracing to approximately 98.00, its low from Tuesday, and is expected to continue its losses once the latter is violated. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has a better chance of raising interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) despite weak US JOLTS Job Openings data. The JOLTS Job Opening number was 11.266M, slightly higher than the prior result of 11.263M and the projection of 11M.

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The US Dollar Index is testing 4-week lows at 97.70 ahead of data

The greenback has been under pressure this week, trading at multi-week lows of 97.70 when measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY) on Thursday. For the third session in a row, the index loses ground and trades at the 97.70 level, despite a cautious posture in wider risk appetite trends and resumed demand for bonds. On the latter, US yields continue to lose momentum and grind lower from recent peaks, with the US 10y benchmark falling for the third straight day to approximately 2.30 percent (down from around 2.55 percent on Friday).

On the geopolitical front, increased scepticism prevails in reaction to apparent progress in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations in Turkey, which have so far failed to produce any serious follow-up. Initial Claims are due in the US data sector, followed by inflation as defined by the PCE, Personal Income/Spending, and the Chicago PMI.

In addition, J.Williams of the New York Fed (permanent voter, centrist) is scheduled to speak. The index stays on the defensive, retesting the first support zone at 97.70.

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GBP/JPY recovers from 160.00 as the BOJ blames rising commodity prices for the yen’s weakness

The GBP/JPY pair has received some considerable offers at 159.50 amid widespread selling in the Japanese yen as a result of the Bank of Japan’s unlimited bond-purchase program me (BOJ). The cross is soaring, having risen over 0.7 percent on Friday from its previous close at the time of publication.

After the completion of the four-day bond-buying spree on Thursday, the aftereffects of the excessive purchase of Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) to cap yields at 25 basis points appear to be gone. It appears that market players were waiting for the conclusion of JGB distribution from market participants to the BOJ, and that the pullback was just a result of investors capitalizing on a firmer rally.

According to Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Matsuno, the economy is improving, according to the BOJ Tankan survey, although difficulties from the Covid-19 outbreak linger. Furthermore, BOJ officials have stressed growing commodity costs, indicating that Japanese firms have primarily highlighted the impact of rising raw material prices and part shortages on present business circumstances.

Meanwhile, the pound has been supported against the yen by the UK’s GDP’s strong performance (GDP). On Thursday, the quarterly GDP came in at 1.3 percent higher than the market consensus and previous number of 1%.

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In Asian markets, the XAU/USD bleeds out, falling below $1,920

The price of gold, XAU/USD, has been under pressure this week due to conflicting mood around the Ukraine issue against anticipation of a rapid-fire response from the Federal Reserve following last week’s Nonfarm Payrolls report.

XAU/USD is down 0.26 percent at the time of writing, having fallen from a high of $1,926.86 to below Friday’s low of $1,918.32. The dollar got off to a strong start on Monday, boosted by a surge in US Treasury rates on anticipation of a series of Fed rate hikes.

Following the release of the NFP report, US 2-year bond rates hit a new all-time high in the North American session, while US 10-year yields also climbed, indicating a drop in investor demand.

After a large upward revision to the February statistics to 750k, non-farm payrolls gained 431k in March. The unemployment rate decreased to 3.6 percent, while average hourly wages rose 0.4 percent month over month, bringing annual growth to 5.6 percent. The report was mixed, with hourly wages for February reduced down to 0.1 percent, indicating that, together with the March number, the pressure on the US labor market may be fading.

Overall, the report has bolstered the Fed’s case for using aggressive rate rises to keep inflation under control. Fed funds futures have a nearly 4/5 likelihood of a 50 basis point rise next month built in.
Despite this, economists at ANZ Bank believe that demand for safe have assets would continue robust because to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. “Since Russia invaded Ukraine, the disparity between fair value and current gold prices has jumped from zero to USD300/oz, implying a significant risk premium. In addition, the Russia-Ukraine conflict’ indirect effects will give a considerable degree of support. The wider isolation of Russia will result in an inflationary structural change in the energy industry.”

In other markets, speculation about further penalties kept the general tone cautious in early trade, but this, too, bolstered the US dollar. After Ukrainian and European authorities accused Russian soldiers of crimes, Germany’s defense minister suggested on Sunday that the European Union should consider restricting Russian gas supplies. Ukraine has accused Russian soldiers of carrying out a “massacre” in Bucha, which Russia’s defense ministry has denied.

“Haven flows are expected to keep the yellow metal sustained as long as significant progress on ceasefire discussions and de-escalation remains elusive,” analysts at TD Securities said. “At the same time, the 2-year and 10-year curves flirting with inversion has fanned rumours of a coming recession, providing yet another favorable dynamic for gold.”

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XAU/USD is expected to drop to about $1,900 as aggressive Fed officials dampen market sentiment

After a massive sell-off on Tuesday, gold (XAU/USD) is struggling in the Asian session. Given the adverse market movement and aggressive tone espoused by Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers, the precious metal is anticipated to drop to around the psychological support of $1,900.00. In a speech on Tuesday, Fed Governor Lael Brainard stated that the Fed is prepared to act aggressively if inflation data and expectations indicate that such action is warranted. While Fed President Mary Daly has underlined the need for the Fed to reduce its balance sheet as quickly as possible. Furthermore, increased oil costs will not cause a significant downturn in the US economy.

On the other hand, on negative market mood, the US dollar index (DXY) has risen to almost 99.60. Fed members’ hawkish positions suggest that, in the future, rising interest rates will limit liquidity influx throughout the world. The risk-off impulse has been triggered, and the greenback is now climbing higher. Aside from the DXY, increased prospects of a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike have injected steroids into US Treasury rates. The 10-year US Treasury rates have surpassed 2.6 percent and are on the verge of setting a new three-year high.

The price of gold fell somewhat as the US currency gained strength. The DXY index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of other currencies, reached its highest level in over two years. The benchmark 10-y++3fear Treasury yield has risen to 2.55 percent, while the two-year yield has risen to 2.56 percent for the first time since March 2019.

Spot gold fell 0.3 percent to $1,916 per ounce, but was trading in a tight range, while US gold futures down 0.1 percent to $1,931.20. XAU/USD is down 0.2 percent at $1,921 at the time of writing, pressured in Asia after comments by Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard.

In advance of tomorrow’s hawkish minutes, the Fed member mentioned the possibility of forceful action by the central bank. Brainard stated that the Fed might begin lowering its balance sheet as early as May, and that it would do so at a “rapid pace.” Interest rate rises might be more aggressive than the usual 0.25 percentage point increments, according to Brainard. Meanwhile, during the March meeting, Fed policymakers began the process of policy normalisation by raising rates 25 basis points to 0.25 percent -0.50 percent, and the minutes of that meeting will be issued on Wednesday.

“Gold prices have remained remarkably robust, indicating strong ETF and comex inflows into gold trumping withdrawals linked with a hawkish Fed,” according to TD Securities analysts. “Because actual rates may be less effective as a barometer for evaluating gold’s relative price, we look at gold flows to see how long interest in the yellow metal will last.” ETF flows have tended to be more significantly connected with changes in market expectations for Fed hikes than real rates, the yield curve, or even price momentum, according to our study.

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US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY

AUD: AIG Services Index, Survey of about 200 service-based companies which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories

AUD: Trade Balance, it measures difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month.

JPY: JGB Auction, it measures average yield on a 30-year bond the government sold at auction, and the bid-to-cover ratio of the auction.

JPY: Leading Indicators, it measures Level of a composite index based on 11 economic indicators. Forecast 100.9%

CHF: Unemployment Rate, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic. Forecast 2.2%

EUR: German Industrial Production, Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities. Forecast 0.1%

GBP: HBOS (Halifax Bank of Scotland) HPI (House Price Index), It’s a leading indicator of the housing industry’s health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity.

CHF: Foreign Currency Reserves, It provides insight into the SNB’s (Swiss National Bank) currency market operations, such as how actively they are defending the franc’s exchange rate against the euro.

EUR: Retail Sales, It’s the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.

EUR: ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, record of the ECB Governing Board’s most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates

GBP: MPC Member Pill Speaks, Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee members vote on where to set the nation’s key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.

USD: Unemployment Claims, it measures number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. Forecast 201K.

USD: FOMC Member Bullard Speaks, about the economy and monetary policy at an event hosted by the University of Missouri, in Columbia.

USD: Treasury Sec Yellen Speaks, about cryptocurrency policy and regulation at an event hosted by American University, in Washington DC.

USD: Nat Gas Inventories, it measures Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week. Forecast -28B.

USD: Consumer Credit m/m, It’s correlated with consumer spending and confidence – rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money. Forecast 18.0B.

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NZD: International Travel and Migration, it measures change in the number of short-term overseas visitors who arrived in the country

GBP: Like-for-like Retail Sales, it measures change in the value of same-store sales at the retail level.

JPY: Bank Lending, it measures change in the total value of outstanding bank loans issued to consumers and businesses.

JPY: Producer Price Index, it measures change in the price of goods sold by corporations.

AUD: NAB Business Confidence, It’s a leading indicator of economic health – businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment.

EUR: German Final CPI m/m, it measures change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

EUR: German WPI m/m, it measures change in the price of goods by wholesalers.

GBP: Average Earnings Index 3m/y, it measures change in the price businesses and the government pay for labor, including bonuses.

GBP: Claimant Count Change, it measures change in in the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits during the previous month.

GBP: Unemployment Rate, it measures percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the past 3 months.

EUR: French Trade Balance, it measures difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month.

EUR: ZEW Economic Sentiment, it measures Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts.

EUR: German ZEW Economic Sentiment, it measures level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts.

USD: NFIB Small Business Index, it measures level of a composite index based on surveyed small businesses.

USD: Consumer Price Index, it measures change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

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NZD/USD higher after the larger than expected interest rate hike from the RBNZ

NZD: Food Price Index , It measures change in the price of food and food services purchased by households.

JPY: Core Machinery Orders m/m, It measures change in the total value of new private-sector purchase orders placed with manufacturers for machines, excluding ships and utilities.

JPY: M2 Money Stock y/y, It measures change in the total quantity of domestic currency in circulation and deposited in banks.

AUD: Westpac Consumer Sentiment, It measures change in the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers.

NZD: Official Cash Rate, Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation – traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future. Forecast 1.25%

NZD: RBNZ (Reserve Bank of New Zealand) Rate Statement, It’s among the primary tools the RBNZ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions.

GBP: CPI (Consumer Price Index) y/y, Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate. Forecast 6.7%

GBP: Core CPI y/y, It measures change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco items.

GBP: PPI Input m/m, It measures change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers.

GBP: PPI Output m/m, It measures change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers.

GBP: RPI y/y, It measures change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption.

JPY: BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks, As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has important influence over the nation’s currency value. Traders scrutinize his speeches as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy and interest rate shifts.

EUR: Italian Industrial Production m/m, It measures change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

GBP: House Price Index (HPI), It measures change in the selling price of homes.

USD: Producer Price Index (PPI), It’s a leading indicator of consumer inflation – when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer. Forecast 1.1%

USD: Core PPI m/m, It measures change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy.

CAD: BOC Monetary Policy Report, It provides valuable insight into the bank’s view of economic conditions and inflation – the key factors that will shape the future of monetary policy and influence their interest rate decisions.

CAD: BOC Rate Statement, It’s the primary tool the BOC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future decisions.

CAD: Interest Rates, Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation – traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future. Forecast 1.00%

USD: Crude Oil Inventories, It measures change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week.

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XAU/USD Lacks Directional Conviction on Conflicting Market Forces

XAUUSD had gotten a ailment break of an earlier triangle pattern at $1,898. In any case, its advance can be tempered for the present by $2,001, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the unpredictable March range of $2,070-$1,890.

Bypassing $1,981 opens the entryway for a trial of the psychological $2,000 price boundary. XAUUSD breakthrough has all the earmarks of being in fact driven, and some movements driven by the expansion hedge theme this week with March PPI for definite interest flooding by most in records back to 2010.

This could be only a more limited traversed three-legged adjustment which makes 2,001 an acutely watched resistance stake. So don’t preclude a rollback which safeguards the super bullish pattern given the week after week MACD

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EUR/USD Rising US yields, sour market mood weigh on Euro

EUR/USD has experienced bearish move on early Monday subsequent to having shut the earlier week somewhere down in regrettable territory. Despite the fact that trading conditions stay slender because of the Easter Monday holiday in Europe, rising US Treasury bond yields and risk-averse marketing strategy is developed that the common currency is probably going to make some extreme memories tracking down interest.

Following a long weekend, the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield opened with a bullish gap and hits at its most grounded level since December 2018 2.8% during the Asian session. Mirroring the positive effect of rising US yields on the greenback, the US Dollar Index sits at a two-year high above 100.70 in the early European session.

In the interim, US stock index futures are down somewhere in the range of 0.25% and 0.8%, highlighting to a risk-averse market environment toward the start of the week.

The US financial agenda won’t offer any high-sway information discharges and the dollar’s market valuation ought to keep on driving EUR/USD’s activity.

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EUR/USD Forecast: Euro on the brink of renewing multi-year lows

XAUUSD Price stays helpless before the price activity in the US dollar and the Treasury yields, kindness of the forceful Fed’s tightening assumptions. In the interim, the shortfall of the primary level US monetary information leaves the consideration on the Fed analysis and rising worries over expansion and development chances, notwithstanding an extended Russia-Ukraine war. Should the market mind-set deteriorate, the safe house interest for the US dollar will be back in play, restricting the potential gain in Gold Price. Furthermore, the reestablished potential gain in the Treasury yields could likewise keep a beware of XAUUSD.

XAUUSD price is battling to take on the recuperation above $1,982, the intermingling of the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, the earlier week’s high and Bollinger Band one-day Upper.
Acknowledgment over the last option is basic to continue the upswing towards the earlier day’s high of $1,998. In front of that level, a lot of firm resistance levels are seen around $1,991, where the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, turn point one-week R1 and turn point one-day R1 match.

On the other side, the earlier day’s low of $1,971 goes about as solid support, beneath which a drop towards the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week at $1,966 will in the off. Further down, XAUUSD traders could target strong support at $1,960, the intersection of the earlier year’s high and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month.

EUR/USD has organized an unobtrusive bounce back to the 1.08 region. Except if the pair figures out how to clear the 1.0830 resistance, traders are probably going to keep on ruling the pair’s activity

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GBP/USD/EUR Beats 14-Year Trend Line Resistance At 127.10/50

GBP/USD stays weighty, flexing against the 1.30 support level. The pair is set to stay under pressure while underneath 1.3150, Financial analysts report.

Support at 1.2980-1.30 still looks firm, support at 1.2980-1.30 still looks firm. Note that the pair has bombed on different occasions at 1.2980-1.30 since mid-March.”

Hidden prospects actually negative until further notice, and that predisposition ought to continue insofar as the pair stays beneath 1.3150

EUR/USD has begun to inch higher early Wednesday in the wake of having shut for all intents and purposes unaltered on Tuesday. The recharged dollar shortcoming in the European session is assisting the pair with holding above 1.0800 and extra recuperation gains could be seen the length of this level stays in one piece.

Albeit the greenback profited by rising US Treasury yields on Tuesday, the 10% increment in Germany’s 10-year yield, the benchmark of the alliance, permitted the common currency to remain strong against its significant adversaries.

In the mean time, yields on the 10-year US Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities moved into the positive territory without precedent for over two years during the Asian session on Wednesday.

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EUR/USD Reach Historical Levels | Xtreamforex

EUR/USD has recovered its foothold in the early European session on Thursday and progressed to its most elevated level in seven days close 1.0900. The specialized standpoint recommends that the bullish predisposition stays in one piece in the close to term and extra gains could be seen in the event that the pair clears the following resistance at 1.0920.

Further developing business sector mind-set and falling US Treasury security yields made the greenback experience weighty misfortunes against its rivals. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar’s presentation against a container of six major currencies, is now down 1% since posting its most noteworthy day to day close in almost two years on Tuesday.

In the interim, hawkish remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) authorities gave an extra lift to the euro and powered EUR/USD’s.

ECB policymakers Martins Kazaks said on Wednesday that an ECB rate hike was conceivable when July. Policymaker Pierre Wunsch told Bloomberg early Thursday that policy rates could turn positive this year and ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos noticed that he was anticipating that the QE should end in July to make ready for a rate hike.

Eurostat will deliver the March Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the euro region. Consistently, HICP is supposed to show up at 7.5% to match the glimmer gauge. All the more critically, ECB President Christine Lagarde and FOMC Chairman Powell will show up at the IMF Springs Meetings. Except if Lagarde stands up against hiking the policy rate in early-Q3, the euro is probably going to save its solidarity.

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EUR/JPY Price Prediction: Bulls need to break through the 200-EMA to move higher; 130.30 is the target

Despite the bearish opening gap on Monday, the EUR/JPY has been following the primary component of Dow Theory by remaining above Friday’s low of 128.73. The cross continues to form the higher high and higher low structure, but more filters are needed to complete it. On Monday, EUR/JPY opened at 129.16, close to the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement (the distance between Friday’s low and high of 128.73 and 130.30). This is typically used to provide significant support for an asset following a correction. These pullbacks are frequently viewed by investors as a good time to buy. The cross is trading in a narrow range of 129.15-129.43, indicating that the volatility bands are being squeezed.

Despite a ‘higher high and higher low’ structure, EUR/JPY is trading below the 50-period and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on a 15-minute scale, indicating a lacklustre move ahead. After trading in a bullish range of 60.00-40.00, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has dropped sharply near 30.00.Bulls are keeping an eye on the 200-EMA at 129.51, as a break of it will send the cross higher towards Friday’s high at 130.30 and Wednesday’s high at 130.71, respectively.

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Oil falls due to global economic fears, ahead of the EU decision on Russia’s oil ban

Oil prices fell on Monday, along with Asian stock markets, on worries of a worldwide recession reducing oil consumption, with investors eyeing European Union discussions on a Russian oil embargo, which is likely to constrain global supply. By 0153 GMT, Brent crude had fallen 28 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $112.11 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate oil in the United States was trading at $109.36 per barrel, down 41 cents, or 0.4 percent.

“The key reasons that impact the oil price are the broader risk-off mood fueled by recession worries, and China’s lockdowns,” CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said. Concerns about interest rate rises and lengthy COVID-19 lockdowns in China, which are harming the world’s second largest economy, have also rattled global financial markets.

“China’s continued restrictions may continue to impact on short-term oil prices,” Teng added. Saudi Arabia’s price drop reflected concerns about global oil consumption, she added. On Sunday, Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter, reduced crude prices for Asia and Europe for June. Brent and WTI jumped for the second week in a row last week on supply worries after the European Commission suggested a phased restriction on Russian oil as part of its toughest-yet package of measures related to the Ukraine war. The plan requires a vote by all EU members.

However, Bulgaria’s Deputy Prime Minister stated late Sunday that if the proposed embargo is not lifted, the nation will reject EU oil penalties against Russia.”The negotiations will continue tomorrow and maybe on Tuesday, with a meeting of the leaders required to finalise them. Our stance is unequivocal. If certain nations receive a dispensation, we would like to receive one as well “Vassilev told BNT national television.

Bulgaria had previously stated that if such opt-outs were permitted, it would seek an exemption from the planned Russian oil ban, but it was unclear if it was seeking a full exemption or a delay similar to the one suggested on Friday for Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic. According to Teng, the exclusions “will surely make the punishments less effective.”

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US stock sell-off deepens as S&P & NASDAQ falls

The brutal market sell-off resumed on Monday, with all three main indices finishing down starting the week. The S&P 500 fell below 4,000 for the first time since April 2021, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ fell more than 4%. The Cboe Volatility Index, or stock market fear measure, rose to 34.66 on Monday. Stocks fell even as the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to around 3.04 percent, down from 3.1 percent on Friday, as investors sought to avoid the carnage in markets.

So far in 2022, there has been nowhere to hide in markets as equities, bonds, and cryptocurrency have all been crushed, and stocks and bonds are seeing a simultaneous correction for the first time in over 50 years. “Investors, in my opinion, have become too gloomy about the future for the US economy and stock market,” experienced stock market bull Edward Yardeni told the Financial Times on Monday. “I can’t remember such stock bearishness in a long time.”

According to Morgan Stanley analysts in a Monday report, retail traders have now lost all of the money they made during the outbreak. Twitter’s shares dropped on Monday. In the absence of Elon Musk’s takeover attempt, the company’s expected price, according to short seller Hindenburg Research, would be 37% lower. According to the experts, Tesla’s CEO has complete control over the sale and might revise his offer.

According to Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs is planning to discontinue working with most SPACs owing to liability concerns and increased regulation in the market. However, if the SEC relaxes its SPAC supervision standards, the investment bank may reconsider. Lumber prices fell to their lowest level of the year on Monday, as the highest mortgage rates in 13 years weighed on home demand.

Overseas, China’s yuan fell to an 18-month low versus the dollar, as Beijing’s Covid restrictions weighed on the economy and US bond rates remained high. Meanwhile, the three most valuable cryptocurrencies by market capitalization – bitcoin, ether, and solana – all fell on Monday. Coinbase and Silvergate Capital stock dropped in tandem with the overall token selloff.

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Global stock markets are falling as inflation and economic concerns remain

On Thursday, global shares slumped to an 18-month low, as investors worried that rising inflation would endure, forcing central banks to continue tightening monetary policy. Stocks in the United States closed a choppy session marginally down, as investors juggled concerns over lingering inflation with evidence that it may be peaking. Since plunging from its all-time high in January, the S&P 500 has come dangerously close to confirming a bear market.

A German warning that Russia was now using energy supply as a “weapon” heightened economic concerns in Europe. The STOXX 600 index was down 0.75 percent throughout Europe. As of 5:09 p.m. ET, the MSCI global stock index was down 0.69 percent (2109 GMT). Oil prices were uneven as a result of supply concerns stemming from the planned European Union embargo on Russian oil. Brent crude dropped 6 cents to $107.45 per barrel. WTI crude oil increased 42 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $106.13 a barrel.

The producer price index for final demand grew 0.5 percent in April, less than the 1.6 percent increase in March, according to the US Labor Department, as growing energy prices slowed. Consumer price growth fell to 8.3 percent in April from 8.5 percent in March, but it still beat experts’ expectations of 8.1 percent.

“Since the Fed hiked rates… and the accompanying robust US jobs market, and CPI statistics have reinforced worries over the scale of the task confronting the Fed,” ANZ bank analysts stated. Overnight, the leading pan-Asian Pacific indices fell 2.5 percent to a 22-month low. The Nikkei 225 lost 1.8 percent. Stocks in emerging markets fell 2.28 percent.

Treasury yields have fallen. After the benchmark US government bond fell to a morning low of 2.816 percent, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR plummeted 7.1 basis points to 2.843 percent. Germany’s benchmark 10-year yield fell as much as 15 basis points to 0.85 percent, its lowest level in over two weeks.

With the collapse of the so-called stablecoin TerraUSD, selling in bitcoin, and a 15% drop in the next-largest cryptocurrency, ether, the crash in cryptocurrency markets proceeded .Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin by market capitalization with a value directly linked to the dollar, has fallen below its so-called “peg” to the dollar. Crypto markets have already lost over $1 trillion due to the worldwide sell-off. This week, about a third of that loss occurred. “The breakdown of the peg in TerraUSD has resulted in several unpleasant and foreseeable consequences. BTC, ETH, and most ALT coins have suffered widespread liquidation “Other cryptocurrencies, stated Richard Usher, head of OTC trading at BCB Group.

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The strong move upwards seems to have revived interest in the GBP/USDcalls. The CME data for GBP/USD February expiry options shows the open interest/open positions in call options rose by 1526 contracts on Friday. Meanwhile, the open interest in put options increased by a mere 408 contracts.  techzpod stream free movies 

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In the idle markets, XAU/USD remains protective at $1,800

As global markets battle for clear directions to extend the previous optimism, gold (XAU/USD) prices drop from intraday highs, being range-bound near $1,813-18. During a sluggish Asian session on Wednesday, the precious metal maintained its previous day’s fall from the 200-DMA.

The current Fed speak is more hawkish than previous ones, but reports about the EU’s oil ban on Russian imports, as well as China’s COVID restrictions, put optimists to the test. Despite this, traders remain optimistic due to stronger GDP data from Japan and the Euro zone, buoyant Retail Sales from the US, and the UK’s robust jobs report.

“The Fed should boost rates to 2.25 percent -2.5 percent neutral ranges ‘expeditiously,'” Fed policymaker Evans seems to have weighed on the market’s mood by raising fears of a fast rate hike. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and normally hawkish St Louis Fed President James Bullard argued for a 50 basis point rate hike on Tuesday, putting pressure on the dollar.

In terms of the report, initial Euro zone GDP for Q1 2022 increased past 5.0 percent YoY to 5.1 percent, as well as above 0.2 percent QoQ estimates to 0.3 percent. In April, however, US retail sales increased by 0.9 percent MoM, somewhat higher than the projected 0.7 percent but lower than the upwardly revised 1.4 percent gain (from 0.5 percent). Japan’s preliminary GDP figures for Q1 2022 climbed past -0.4 percent estimates to -0.2 percent QoQ, while Annualized GDP improved to -1.0 percent from -1.8 percent expected.

The Financial Times (FT) reports that China is diverting anti-poverty funds to COVID testing as the crisis worsens, adding to the market’s concerns about the European Commission’s (EC) decision to move away from Russian energy imports. In this environment, US 10-year Treasury rates increased by 0.5 basis points (bps) to 2.988 percent, while S&P 500 Futures struggle to find a clear direction despite Wall Street’s strong advances.

However, if the US Dollar Index, which is currently flat near 103.35, benefits from the latest cautious optimism, gold traders may see additional losses. The greenback gauge could be influenced by second-tier housing figures as well as qualitative factors such as corona virus and geopolitics.

Despite maintaining inside a $5.00 trading range recently, gold prices have maintained the prior day’s retreat from the 200-DMA. XAU/USD may return an annual horizontal support range between $1,790-85, given the bearish MACD signals and the metal’s failure to cross the major moving average, which was around $1,838 by press time.

Read Full News : Daily & Weekly Analysis on XtreamForex

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