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Review EUR/JPY 31.07.2018

Fundamental analysis: short-term bearish trend has turned around, prices are moving up again. Today promises to be interesting – a lot of important news on the European Union and Japan – and therefore will be able to earn on volatility. Japan: news (a BoJ Monetary Policy Statement and the BoJ Interest Rate Decision) pushed the price up significantly. Europe: we expect the value of Gross Domestic Product, as well as the Consumer Price Index.

Technical analysis: the long-term trend is bullish since 2012. On the H4 chart, we will pay attention to the behavior of the Alligator: the lines are intertwined, and the candles consistently break through all three lines. This happens when you change the trend.

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Trading recommendations: we follow the short-term bullish trend, the long positions are above 130.504. Cancellation of this scenario and correspondingly short positions - below the level of 129.193.

Sincerely, Sergey Ryazantsev - financial analyst of brokerage company AMEGA

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review AUD/USD 7.08.2018

Long-term trend: Bear

Medium-term trend: Bear

After the price is fixed below control resistance zone №1 0.74013-0.73951 the medium-term trend has changed to the bear market with the aim to target zone 0.73388-0.73263. The probability of reaching this zone is about 70%. The best selling prices have already been received from control resistance zone №2 0.74385-0.74323. Price growth is considered like corrective.

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Trading recommendations: It’s recommended to try to have a short position from control resistance zone №3 0.74166-074104 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders». In case of the price is fixed upper control resistance zone №3 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

The resistance zone 0.73822-0.73791 and control resistance zone №3 are constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio should be at least 1/3.

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review NZD/USD 9.08.2018

Long-term trend: Bear

Medium-term trend: Bear

After the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №1 0.67953-0.67898  the medium-term trend has changed to the bear market. After the price has rebounded the control resistance zone №2 the price has already reached the target zone №1 0.67403-0.67293 and the target zone №2 0.66743-0.66688 with the potential to reach the target zone №3 0.66193-0.66083. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone №2 0.67242-0.67187. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

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Trading recommendations:

It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the control resistance zone №2 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».

The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

 

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review  EUR/USD  17.08.2018

Long-term trend: Bearish

Medium-term trend: Bearish

The bear market is continuing. Any price growth is considered like corrective.  The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.15622-1.15438, the target zone №2 1.14518-1.14426 and the target zone №3 1.13598-1.13414. The next aim is the target zone №4 1.12494-1.12402. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 1.14018-1.13926. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

1b0c3a56050f.jpg

Trading recommendations: It’s recommended to try to have a short position after any corrective movement with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders». The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 1.14018-1.13926.

The control resistance zone is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

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Review EUR/USD 20.08.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1.14018-1.13926 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1.15030-1.14846. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 80%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective.  The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1.13525-1.13433. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

d024d63742ff.jpg

Trading recommendation:

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone №2 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».

The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points

External border – Initial margin in points

 

Control resistance zone ­­– the half from the target zone

Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

 

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review GBP/USD 21.08.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1.27934-1.27814 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1.29254-1.29014. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 75%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective.  The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1.27209-1.27089. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

5be03c28bfe9.jpg

Trading recommendation:

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the resistance zone 1.27809-1.27749 and the control resistance zone №2 1.27209-1.27089 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».

The control resistance zone №2 and the resistance zone are constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points

External border – Initial margin in points

 

Control resistance zone ­­– the half from the target zone

Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

 

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review EUR/USD 23.08.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.16042-1.15950 and it is going to the target zone №2 1.17054-1.16870 . Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone 1.15304-1.15212. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

e0cbccea3583.jpg

Trading recommendation:

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone 1.15304-1.15212 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».

The control resistance zone is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

 

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points

External border – Initial margin in points

 

Control resistance zone ­­– the half from the target zone

Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

 

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review GOLD  28.08.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1211.41-1209.86, it has tested the control resistance zone №1 1186.11-1184.56 and it has reached the target zone №2 1211.41-1209.86. The next aim is the target zone №3 1228.46-1225.36. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1196.90-1195.35. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

7075ebfd17cf.jpg

Trading recommendation:

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone №2 1196.90-1195.35 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders».

The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points

External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone ­­– the half from the target zone

Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source:Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review GBP/USD 5.09.2018

Medium-term trend: Bearish

After the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №1 1.29229-1.29109  the medium-term trend has changed to the bear market with the aim to the target zone 1.28029-1.27789. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 70%. Any price growth is considered like corrective.  The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone №2 1.29421-1.29301. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

a42c57bfdb32.jpg

Trading recommendation:

It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the resistance zone 1.28761-1.28701 and the control resistance zone №2 1.29421-1.29301 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on M15.

The control resistance zone №2 and resistance zone are constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points

External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone ­­– the half from the target zone

Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review EUR/USD 11.09.2018

Medium-term trend: Bearish

The bear market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.15492-1.15308 but it hasn’t been fixed below the zone and now it’s near the control resistance zone №2 1.16268-1.16176. Until the price was fixed above this zone, we can consider only short positions. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone №2. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

c8d7708c47ad.jpg

Trading recommendation:

It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the control resistance zone №2 1.16268-1.16176 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.

The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points

External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone ­­– the half from the target zone

Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review EUR/USD 14.09.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1.16268-1.16176  the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1.17280-1.17096. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 75%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective.  The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1.16090-1.15998. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

0d6501be7b74.jpg

Trading recommendation:

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the resistance zone 1.16550-1.16504 and the control resistance zone №2 1.16090-1.15998 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.

The control resistance zone №2 and the resistance zone are constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points

External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone ­­– the half from the target zone

Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review BTC/USD 19.09.2018

Medium-term trend: Bearish

The bear market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 6443.75-6347.79 and it has been fixed below the zone. The probability of reaching the target zone №2 5867.91-5819.93 is about 70%. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 6714.70-6666.72. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

7f8abb48e724.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the control resistance zone 6714.70-6666.72 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone ¬¬– the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review GBP/USD 21.09.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.30489-1.30249, the target zone №2 1.31809-1.31689, the target zone №3 1.33129-1.32889 and it is going to the target zone №4 1.34449-1.34329. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone 1.31777-1.31657. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

a24d664526b4.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone 1.31777-1.31657 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA
 

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Review GBP/USD  28.09.2018
    
Medium-term trend: Bearish

The bear market is continuing. The price has already tested the control resistance zone №1 1.31862-1.31742 and now it’s going to the target zone №1 1.30577-1.30337. The best prices for selling have already been given near the control resistance zone №1. Therefore it’s recommended to wait any corrective movement and after again try to have a short position from the zones with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

5870fb2c2efa.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to wait any corrective movement and after again try to have a short position from the zones with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone №1 is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review GOLD 4.10.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 1198.65-1197.10 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 1214.85-1211.75. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 70%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective.  The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 1192.76-1191.21. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

87dde19faeeb.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone №2 1192.76-1191.21 (170 points from current maximum) with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone №2 is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.
Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review USOIL 12.10.2018

Medium-term trend: Bearish

The bear market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 73.790-73.480, the target zone №2 71.930-71.775 and it has been fixed below the zone. The probability of reaching the target zone №3 70.380-70.070 is about 70%. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone 72.205-72.050. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

8dfa165e72d2.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the resistance zone 71.352-71.275 (85 points from current minimum) and the control resistance zone 72.205-72.050 (170 points from current minimum) with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on M15.
The control resistance zone and resistance zone are constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA
 

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Review AUD/USD 16.10.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

After the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone №1 0.71095-0.71033 the medium-term trend has changed to the bull market with the aim to the target zone 0.71783-0.71658. The probability of reaching the target zone is about 75%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective.  The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone №2 0.70860-0.70798. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone №2 the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

682a9ff09211.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the resistance zone 0.71173-0.71142 and the control resistance zone №2 0.70860-0.70798 with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone №2 and the resistance zone are constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zones should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA
 

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Review EUR/USD 22.10.2018

Medium-term trend: Bearish

The bear market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.14369-1.14185 but it hasn’t been fixed below the zone and now it’s near the control resistance zone 1.15339-1.15247. Until the price was fixed above this zone, we can consider only short positions. The best prices to try to have a short position are the control resistance zone. In case of the price is fixed upper the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bull market and all short positions should be closed.

621275faca8b.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a short position near the control resistance zone 1.15339-1.15247 (100 points from current minimum) with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone is constructed from the current minimum. If this minimum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points down. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.

All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA
 

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Review USD/CAD 2.11.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 1.31296-1.31106 and it has been fixed upper the zone. The probability of reaching the target zone №2 1.32198-1.32093 is about 70%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone 1.30717-1.30614. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

fb471ad0863e.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone 1.30717-1.30614 (108 points from current maximum) with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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Review NZD/USD 20.11.2018

Medium-term trend: Bullish

The bull market is continuing. The price has already reached the target zone №1 0.68595-0.68455  and it has been fixed upper the zone. The probability of reaching the target zone №2 0.69225-0.69155 is about 70%. Any price reduction is considered like corrective. The best prices to try to have a long position are the control resistance zone 0.68137-0.68067. In case of the price is fixed below the control resistance zone the medium-term trend will be changed to the bear market and all long positions should be closed.

b7df82041069.jpg

Trading recommendation: 

It’s recommended to try to have a long position near the control resistance zone 0.68137-0.68067 (77 points from current maximum) with using the pattern «Head&Shoulders» at least on timeframe M15.
The control resistance zone is constructed from the current maximum. If this maximum changes by n points the zone should also be shifted n points up. The risk/reward ratio for every order should be at least 1/3.
All zones are constructed on the basis of data from the CME futures market.

Target zone:

Internal border – Maintenance margin size in points 
External border – Initial margin in points

Control resistance zone – the half from the target zone
Resistance zone – the quarter of the target zone

Source: Forex analysis from the broker AMEGA

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  • Dennis#MD changed the title to Daily Technical Analysis by AmegaFX.com
  • AmegaFX changed the title to Amega daily market overview & news alerts

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