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Daily Analysis by AdamantFinance.com

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Technical Outlook October 14, 2016


EURUSD

14_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

EUR/USD is doing a correctional growth at the moment after several days of decline. There was an opportunity to open short trades from the MA55 balance line at 1,10350-390 and the price was in a profit area allowing you to take about 150-200 pips. You could protect your positions by placing stops at breakeven area. However, later the currency pair resumed growing and short trades closed with no profit. We advise to pay attention to an important US data today. If it is better than forecasted, USD may gain some support and the currency pair will resume its downside tendency.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair left previously established range downwards and is probably going to continue its decline this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations as it is Friday and the volumes may be low.   

 

GBPUSD

14_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair reached the MA55 balance line and there was an opportunity to open short trades from 1,22100-150. The price was in a profit area allowing to protect your trades, placing stops at breakeven. Those stops triggered later. It is to mention, that the MA-channel changed its direction and looks upwards at the moment. The price is staying within Wednesday’s range and there is a probability that the currency pair is going to trade in flat today.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was no correction and we expect the currency pair to continue its downside tendency this week.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55. The situation is still unclear as there is no trend at the moment. We advise to take no decision.

AUDUSD

14_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair failed to decline according to our expectations and reversed upwards menacing to close short trades from 0,76150-200. However, stop losses still remain untouched, the price was close to them. The MA-channel indicates on the probability of reverse in the nearest future. We advise to close positions with low profit as the currency pair reacted on the stronger than expected China data.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. Everything indicated on the sharp decline of the currency pair in the nearest future. The scenario of decline towards 0,71800 is still actual.

There is still the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. It is better to avoid trading today as the situation is still unclear.

USDCHF

14_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

We have noticed in our yesterday’s review that the currency pair slows down its uptrend. There is a probability of a change in the current tendency today. We advise to try short trades as the volatility was weak this week. We expect the currency pair to increase volatility today.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had some growth and may continue this dynamics this week. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. 


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 14, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

14_10_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD is trading within a tight range. There is some potential for correctional growth. However, Gold still stays within a range. We give no recommendations as there is no clear trend. There is some important US data today. It may stimulate fluctuations. However, it is very difficult to predict the direction at the moment. It is better to avoid trading.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was a breakthrough of the red trendline last week. We expect XAU/USD to correct in the next couple of days.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as the trend is still unclear.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

14_10_2016_silver.jpg

XAG/USD failed to do an upside correction and the situation remains unchanged. There is a probability that today’s US data is going to increase volatility. The price is close to the trendline on the Weekly chart at the moment and may break it through. In this case we expect the decline to accelerate. However, this scenario is doubtful.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. XAG/USD declined last week according to our expectations. We think that the precious metal is going to do an upside correction this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the Ma55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading until the situation becomes clearer. 

 


 

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Technical Outlook October 17, 2016


EURUSD

17_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair was in a downtrend on Friday according to our expectations. However, the situation was unclear. EUR/USD established new monthly lows. It is to notice that the main event for this week is the European central Bank meeting, which is to take place on Thursday. There is a probability that the ECB is going to change its current monetary policy in order to avoid lack of bonds. Today we advise to pay attention to the Eurozone CPI y/y data as it also may have some impact on fluctuations. It is also important to pay attention to US CPY data which is to be released tomorrow.

There is still no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair moved downwards last week. We expect the price to go upwards in the next couple of days to form a correction.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to wait until the tendency reverses.   

 

GBPUSD

17_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair continued to trade within a range of Friday. There is a probability of further decline. Today we may see if the currency pair is ready to continue its downside tendency. You may try short trades with low volumes. There is an important UK CPI y/y data tomorrow. However, it is to notice that GBP/USD had almost no reaction on this data previously.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair declined last week and we expect it to continue its downside tendency in the nearest future. 

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line.

AUDUSD

17_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair continued to grow on Friday. We gave a recommendation to fix your short trades. The currency pair stays close to the Weekly trend line for too long already. The trendline may be broken through in the nearest future. The downside scenario with targets at 0,71800 is still disputable. 

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There is no sharp decline of the currency pair. There is a probability that downside scenario will be cancelled. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. There was an opportunity to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. If you have missed it, it is better to avoid trading and wait for clearer signals.

USDCHF

17_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair is trading in a flat as the downside tendency has failed to develop. There was an opportunity to close short trades with no profit. It is probable that this flat tendency is going to dominate this week. We give no recommendations. It is better to wait for a clear trend to open trades. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had some growth last week and broke our expectations. We expect USD/CHF to be trading with no trend this week.

There is no clear tendency on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. It is better to avoid trading at the moment and wait for clearer signals.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 17, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

17_10_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD was trading in both directions on Friday and there was no clear trend established. The price is still within a range and we give no recommendations in this situation. There is a probability that precious metals are going to move downwards this week as there was no upside correction previously. However, it is better to wait for a trend to be established before taking any decision.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was no upwards correction last week. This fact may indicate on the further downtrend, which is to be developed in the nearest future. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to wait until the situation is clear to take any decision.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

17_10_2016_silver.jpg

XAG/USD failed to develop downside move even after the US data in Friday, which was better than expected. The downtrend may accelerate if the price breaks through the trendline on the Weekly chart. There is no signs of growth and even a correction is unlikely. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was no upside correction. However, if the currency pair breaks through the trend line on the Weekly chart there is a probability that the downtrend is going to continue. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from 17,50 area. 

  


 

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Technical Outlook October 18, 2016


EURUSD

18_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair was in upside correction yesterday and today in the morning the growth accelerated. There are some signs of future change in tendency. There is no reverse at the moment. However, some technical factors indicates this probability in the nearest future. The trendline on the Hourly chart was broken through and the price is growing above the MA55 balance line. It is necessary to wait until the MA-channel reverses upwards. Then you may try to search for signals to open long trades. There is an important US CPI y/y data today. It may have significant impact on fluctuations.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55. The currency pair was in a downtrend last week. We expect EUR/USD to be in a correction this week. 

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is above the MA55. It is better to take no decision at the moment and wait until the tendency to reverse.   

 

GBPUSD

18_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair move closed to the MA55 balance line during European Session yesterday and there was an opportunity to open short trades according to our recommendations. GBP/USD then went downwards for about 600 pips allowing to take significant profit. The currency pair tries to change its tendency today in the morning as it is higher than the MA55 balance line. There was a breakthrough of the trendline on the Hourly chart indicating the probability of reverse. An important UK CPI y/y data is expected today. The currency pair may finally change its tendency after this data.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair declined last week and this scenario is likely to continue in the next couple of days. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to take no decision at the moment and wait for the tendency to reverse. 

AUDUSD

18_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair broke through the trendline and accelerated its growth in the morning. There was a reverse on Friday and yesterday’s fluctuations confirm this tendency. The currency pair tries to cross the trendline on the Hourly chart according to our expectations. It is too risky to open long trades at the moment. It is better to wait until the price corrects.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There is no sharp decline of the currency pair. The scenario for AUD/USD to decline towards 0,71800 is still under question and may be canceled.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line area. Place stops at will.

USDCHF

18_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair is still trading within a range with no signs of trend. However, USD/CHF has crossed the trendline on the Hourly chart. This fact indicates on the probability of further downtrend. However, this downside tendency is still unclear.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had some growth last week. We expect USD/CHF to be trading with no trend this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision at the moment as the situation is unclear.  


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 18, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

18_10_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD is trading within a tight range for the second week in a row. The asset tried to grow today in the morning but it still remains within the range. Today’s US CPI m/m data may have considerable impact on fluctuations. Especially if the final result is better than expected. However, if US CPI releases close to forecasts, there may be no change in the current scenario. The MA-channel is still horizontal and we advise to take no decision in this situation.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was no upside correction. There is a probability for the downside tendency to develop this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the Ma-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to wait for clearer signals to take any decision.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

18_10_2016_silver.jpg

Silver is trying to grow today in the morning. However, those attempts seem to be unstable. If we take a look at the Weekly chart, we may see that the price corrects towards the trendline before further decline. We advise to open trades only after the confirmation of the breakthrough. There was no opportunity to sell yesterday as the price avoid to reach 17,50 area.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was no correction. The fact that XAG/USD has broken through the trend line indicates on the probability of acceleration of the downside tendency.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades if price crosses 17,30.

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Technical Outlook October 19, 2016


EURUSD

19_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair was in a downtrend yesterday before the US CPI m/m data. However, right after the release of this data, EUR/USD stopped to decline. US CPI met the forecasts and the Core data was worse than expected. Fed pays more attention to the Core CPI. It is the main reason why market participants stopped to buy USD when they have seen the results of the release. We advise to pay attention to today’s US Building Permits data, which may have some impact on USD. There is a probability that this statistics accompanied by yesterday’s weaker than expected Core CPI data is going to exert pressure on USD.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair moved downwards last week. We expect EUR/USD to have an upside correction in the next couple of days.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We expect the tendency to change in the nearest future.   

 

GBPUSD

19_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair finally changed its tendency after yesterday’s UK CPI y/y data. Analysts expected CPI growth to increase to 0,9%. However, final result was even better at 1,0% level. The faster inflation growth is the less chances of further monetary easing by the Bank of England are. In addition Mark Carney, Head of the Bank of England expressed his worries about the faster than expected devaluation of the British Pound. 

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair declined last week. We expect the same tendency to continue this week. However, the latest UK CPI data may change the situation.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from 1,22300-500 area. 

AUDUSD

19_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

Investors were cautious yesterday and the currency pair was trading without sharp moves. We expect that AUD/USD is going to continue its growth and there will be no fake breakthrough on the Weekly chart. There are some opportunities to open trades today as the price is getting closer to the MA55 balance line. You may try long trades from the trendline on the Hourly chart.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There is no sharp decline of the currency pair. The downside scenario with target at 0,71800 may be cancelled. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the trendline or from the MA55.

USDCHF

19_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair continues to trade in flat. The downside tendency that we had seen last week had no sequel. USD/CHF is still unsuitable for trading. It is better to avoid trading as there is no clear trend.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had some growth last week according to our expectations. We expect the currency pair to be trading with no direction this week.

There is no clear trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision at the moment as the situation is still unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 19, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

19_10_2016_gold.jpg

Bulls are trying to begin to dominate the market due to yesterday’s US CPI m/m data which was worse than expected. Common inflation data met forecasts. However, Core CPI data was weaker than expected and even worse than previous figure. Fed pays more attention to the Core CPI data. USd is under pressure. Gold growth is still fragile but there is a probability of this increase to continue.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. An upside correction is still progressing. We expect this tendency to continue in the next couple of days. 

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 or from the trendline. Place stops below it.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

19_10_2016_silver.jpg

Silver is growing step-by-step. However, the current technical scenario still prevent further growth. The uptrend was established and you may try long trades today. Bulls may have some difficulties, targets for the growth should be close. There was no opportunity to open short trades according to our recommendations as the price failed to reach 17,30.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart and the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction becomes stronger and we expect the uptrend to take force this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. You may try long trades from the trendline or from the MA55 balance line. Place stops below the curve.


  


 

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Technical Outlook October 20, 2016


EURUSD

20_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair was trading in both directions and established new weekly lows as the European Central Bank Meeting is approaching. US data was mixed and gave no support to USD yesterday. We advise to pay attention to the European central Bank Meeting today as it may have a considerable impact on the currency pair. If the ECB leaves rates unchanged, pay attention to Mario Draghi comments as they may also be crucial for the fluctuations. Investors expect the ECB to hold current monetary course and make no changes or adjustments. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. EUR/USD had a considerable downtrend last week. We expect the currency pair to have an upside correction in the next couple of days. 

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 curve.    

 

GBPUSD

20_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair was trading in both directions because of the mixed UK and US data. Claimant Count Change declined to 0,7K. However, previous figures were revised towards 7,1K, which is worse than expected. There was no opportunity to open long trade from 1,22300-500 as the price failed to reach those levels. There is another portion of important US and UK data today. Those releases may have a considerable impact on GBP/USD. We expect the currency pair to correct towards 1,22000. However, we give no recommendations as this correction goes in the opposite direction of the main trend.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the Ma55 balance line. The currency pair had a sharp decline last week. We expect GBP/USD to continue its downside tendency through an upside correction (which is probable). 

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is unclear.

AUDUSD

20_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair approached the trendline on the Hourly chart. There was an opportunity to open long trades according to our recommendations. The price was in a profit area for about 600 pips and it was enough to take some profit. We can state that the currency pair tries to break through the trendline. We expect AUD/USD to have a correction in the nearest future. 

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was no sharp decline of the currency pair. It means that the scenario to reach 0,71800 is under question. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision at the moment as the situation is still unclear.

USDCHF

20_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair continues to be trading within a range ignoring all even important releases. It is better to avoid trading USD/CHF as the situation remains unclear. We advise to wait for a trend to be established in order to take further steps.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had some growth last week according to our expectations. We think that there will be no direction in the next couple of days. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. It is better to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is still unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 20, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

20_10_2016_gold.jpg

There was an opportunity to open long trades from the trendline on the Hourly chart yesterday in the morning. The price went into the profit area for more than 12 USD. US data stimulate XAU/USD correction growth. There is another portion of US data today  which may continue to give support to Gold.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the Ma55 balance line. The upside correction takes force and we expect this tendency to develop in the next couple of days.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. However, the price is still too far from the buying area and it is better to wait until the situation becomes more suitable for entering the market.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

20_10_2016_silver.jpg

XAG/USD gave an opportunity to open long trades from the MA55 balance line according to our recommendations yesterday in the afternoon. Silver has some difficulties to continue its growth and we advise to establish close targets. We also recommend fixing all existing trades and to reopen positions today from the MA55 balance line or from the trendline with close stop losses.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction takes force and we expect XAG/USD to develop this tendency in the next couple of days.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line or from the trendline and place stops below this support. 


   


 

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Technical Outlook October 21, 2016


EURUSD

21_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair had a sharp short term momentum after European Central Bank head’s comments. He made hints on the probability of further extension of their bond buying programme. Those comments confused investors for a while. However, the situation stabilised as there are no reasons to end current bond buying programme on March. There are no signaificant changes in the Eurozone economics to undertake such steps. The currency pair declined as investors believe, that the European central bank is going to extend its QE programme. There is no important data in today’s agenda. However, some FOMC members are going to give their comments. There was an opportunity to open short trades after Mario Draghi comments according to our recommendations.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair declined significantly last week. We expect EUR/USD to have an upside correction during this week. However, after the ECB meeting, the currency pair continued to decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line and the MA-channel goes downwards. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line.     

 

GBPUSD

21_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair had a change in its tendency after weak UK Retail Sales data and stronger than expected US data. There was a correction towards 1,22000 and we expect it to continue today. We gave no recommendations to trades in the opposite direction of the current trend. However, there is the probability of reverse and we advise to consider short trades.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair declined last week and there is a probability that GBP/USD continues this tendency in the nearest future. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. You may try to open short trades from the MA55 balance line or from the trendline on the Hourly chart.

AUDUSD

21_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

There was a huge correction yesterday and we expect it to continue today. However, we think that the breakthrough of the trend line on the Weekly chart is done. It may be cancelled only if the price continues to decline aggressively. If this breakthrough is true, the currency pair is going to continue its growth next week.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There is no sharp decline of the currency pair and the scenario for AUD/USD to go towards 0,71800 may be cancelled. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions today as the situation is still unclear.

USDCHF

21_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair has finally left its tight range and went upwards. There is a strong resistance on the Weekly chart but we expect the growth to be limited as it is Friday today. We think that the currency pair may correct towards the Ma55 balance line.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had some growth last week according to our expectations. We expect USD/CHF to have no direction this week.

The uptrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the Ma55 balance line. We advise to take no decision today as the situation is still unclear.  


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 21, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

21_10_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD went downwards and there is a probability that the precious metal is going to change its current tendency as the trend line was broken through along with the MA55 balance line. US data was stronger than expected yesterday and the interest rates hike odds in December increased. Those odds jumped to 74%. We think that it is due to the better than expected US data and FOMC members’ comments. There is a probability that the upside correction is done.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the Ma55 balance line. The correction takes force and this upside tendency may continue this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55 balance line. The MA-channel did not change its direction and we give no recommendations for today.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

21_10_2016_silver.jpg

Silver offered and opportunity to open long trades. However, those trades ended with a little stop. XAG/USD had changed its tendency and broke through the trend line on the Hourly chart. The MA-channel had also changed its direction and we advise to open short trades. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The upside correction takes force and this tendency is likely to continue this week. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55. Place stops above the curve. 


 


 

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Technical Outlook October 24, 2016




EURUSD

24_10_2016_eur.jpg



FOMC member’s comments gave some support to USD on Friday. The currency pair is still under pressure. However, German and French PMI data, which has a positive bias, holds EUR/USD close to the opening level. It is to say, that FOMC members increased Interest Rate hike odds during their Friday’s speeches. Two FOMC members (Dudley and Bullard) are going to give their comments today. Those officials are “hawks” and they may give additional support to USD today in the afternoon. There was no opportunity to open short trades according to our recommendations as the price did not go to the MA55 balance line. We expect the dynamics of fluctuation to copy the last week’s one.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The upside correction was short time. We expect the currency pair to continue its downtrend in the next couple of days. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations as the price is still too far from the MA55 balance line. It is better to wait until the situation is more stable and clear. 



GBPUSD

24_10_2016_gbp.jpg



The currency pair offered an opportunity to open short trades on Friday from the trendline on the Hourly chart. There was an opportunity to take profit as the currency pair went down for some 800 pips. We expect GBP/USD to have a downside bias this week. There is an important manufacturing orders data today. However, this release may have no impact on the currency pair. Today’s MPC member Shafik speech had no influence on fluctuations. However, we advise to pay attention to tomorrows Bank of England head’s speech as it may cover further monetary policy issues.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. GBP/USD was in correction last week. We expect the currency pair to hold this downside bias in the next couple of days. 

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. There is a kind of a triangle on the Hourly chart and we expect the price to leave it downwards. However, there are some doubts and we give no recommendations. 



AUDUSD

24_10_2016_aud.jpg



The currency pair was in a downtrend for two past days and there is a need in a correction at the moment. We give no recommendations. It is better to avoid trading as the situation is unclear. However, we still believe that the currency pair has enough power to go downwards. It needs some time to implement this scenario.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had made some attempts to grow. However, it declined in the dying moment of the last week. We have no idea what is to happen in the nearest future. However, we believe that there is a probability of further decline towards 0,71800.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment.



USDCHF

24_10_2016_chf.jpg



The currency pair was in a downside correction. However, the decline was short. The price is close to the MA55 balance line and there is an opportunity to search for long trades from this moving average.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had an upside bias last week. We expect USD/CHF to accelerate its growth in the next couple of days. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stops below the curve.






Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 24, 2016




GOLD (XAUUSD)

24_10_2016_gold.jpg



XAU/USD ended last week in a positive area as there was some support from the demand in India and China on the eve of the upcoming holidays. However, USD is also growing and this fact have some negative impact on XAU/USD. Interest Rates hike odds increase. Gold is still within a triangle and may remain inside this pattern for the whole week.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was an upside correction and we expect it to continue this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. The MA-channel reversed but we think that it does not mean the beginning of the downside tendency. We advise to open short trades from 1270,00 area.



SILVER (XAGUSD)

24_10_2016_silver.jpg



Silver is trading within a triangle and we expect the asset to go down. You may try to open short trades today. XAG/USD is under pressure as FOMC members’ comments give additional support to USD. However, growing demand from India and China give support to Silver.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was an upside correction last week. We expect it to continue this week.

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Technical Outlook October 25, 2016


EURUSD

25_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

Both stronger than expected US Manufacturing PMI data and FOMC members’ comments allowed EUR/USD to go down during American Session confirming that the downtrend is still actual. However, there was no clear tendency yesterday. We expect this dynamics to continue today and we give no recommendations for trading. There is an important data during American session (CB Consumer Confidence). We advise to pay attention to it. However, this data may have no influence on fluctuations.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The upside correction was short and limited. We expect the currency pair to continue to decline in the next couple of days.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the situation is unclear.     

 

GBPUSD

25_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair left a tringle confirming our yesterdays’ hesitations. We thought that after a strong downtrend the price is going to correct and there was an opportunity to start a correction in the beginning of the week. There is no important UK data today. However, we advise to pay attention to Bank of England Head’s Carney speech. The correction is likely to continue during today’s sessions.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was some correction last week and we expect the price to correct during this week as well.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the situation is still unclear. 

AUDUSD

25_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair is going into a correction phase. There is no clear bias and we give no recommendations. Trend looks downwards. However, the price is doing a correction before it may go further downside. The currency pair is above the MA55 balance line and there is a probability of a reverse.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair made some attempts to grow. However, it declined in the dying moments of the last week. We have no idea how this situation is going to develop. However, the scenario of decline towards 0,71800 is still actual.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear.

USDCHF

25_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The long trades from the MA55 area were unsuccessful and short stop losses triggered. The uptrend is slowing down and there is a probability of reverse even today. Anyway, it is better to avoid trading in this situation as there are many question concerning further fluctuations. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair continued its growth last week. We expect USD/CHF to accelerate its uptrend in the next couple of days.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the situation is still unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 25, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

25_10_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD made a sharp upside burst but then returned to its previous positions. Strong US data gave some support to USD. Yesterday’s session ended almost on the same level as it started. Short trades from 1270,00 according to our recommendations were unsuccessful. The price is close to the upper side of the triangle. There is a probability that XAU/USD is going to decline today. There is still a probability that the precious metal is going to break through the upper side of the triangle. However, it is still too early to take any decision. If you want to trade today, you may try short positions from the upper side of the triangle. Place stop losses above this line.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was an upside correction last week. We expect it to continue this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the situation is unclear.

SILVER (XAGUSD)

25_10_2016_silver.jpg

The short trades were unsuccessful as the price broke through the upper side of the triangle. Sell were fixed by stop losses. It is to mention that silver had already changed its tendency. We advise to avoid short trades.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction is likely to continue this week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance lie. Place stops below the curve. 


   


 

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Technical Outlook October 26, 2016


EURUSD

26_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair established new lows yesterday during the European session. However, US CB Consumer Confidence data was worse than expected and this statistics exert some pressure on USD. The currency pair went back to previous levels. It is to notice that Interest Rates hike odds increased again and reached 78,5%. This fact is going to support USD in the nearest future. There is no important data to follow neither from USA, nor from the Eurozone today. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The upside correction was short and limited in time. We expect the currency pair to continue its decline this week.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short-term long trades from the MA55 balance line are. Place stops below the curve.     

 

GBPUSD

26_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair declined sharply on fears of further easing by the Bank of England regardless the rising inflation. Mark Carney, head of the structure said yesterday, that the Bank of England is going to use all available tools to support inflation growth. However, later it restored partially its positions on worse than expected US CB Consumer Confidence data. We think that automated short trades orders triggered as they did not long ago. The trendline on the Hourly chart was broken through. We think that the downtrend is going to continue. 

Bears still dominate on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was a correction last week. We expect the currency pair to continue its decline this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line or from the trend line. Place stop losses at will. 

AUDUSD

26_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair went upwards on the better than expected Australia CPI data. This data indicates on the fact that the Reserve Bank of Australia is not going to cut Interest Rates lower. The currency pair is able to continue its growth on both technical and fundamental factors. The bias of fluctuations changed and the currency pair looks upwards at the moment. 

Bulls are still dominating on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had made some attempts to grow but it declined in the end of the last week. It is still unclear whether AUD/USD goes upwards or downwards. However, we still think that the currency pair is able to go towards 0,71800.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was a good opportunity to open trades from the MA55 balance line today in the morning. It is better to avoid trading at the moment and wait for clear signals.

USDCHF

26_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair had an attempt to grow. However, the upside burst was short-term. It is to say that Euro had already changed its tendency and we expect USD/CHF to decline in the nearest future. There is still no trend but you may try to put the cart before the horse.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair continued to grow last week. We expect USD/CHF to accelerate its upside tendency in the nearest future.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses at 150-200 pips from the opening level.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 26, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

26_10_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD broke through the upper side of the triangle although it was almost impossible. There is the uptrend at the moment and you may try to search for long trades. We expect XAU/USD to grow towards 1280,00. Then there is a probability of a correction. There will be an opportunity to open long trades during this correction from the MA55 area.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction took place last week and it may continue in the nearest future.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the price is still far from the Ma55 balance line. 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

26_10_2016_silver.jpg

We advised to buy Silver yesterday. However, the price did not reach the MA55 balance line to open trades. Finally, XAG/USD went upwards but we had no opportunity to enter the market. It is recommended to look for long trades only.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. We expect that the upside correction is going to continue this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to wait until the price reaches the MA55 and then try to open short trades. 


   


 

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Technical Outlook October 27, 2016


EURUSD

27_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

There was an opportunity to open long trades from the MA55 area yesterday. The currency pair had some growth and allowed to take about 600 pips as profit. Then, the currency pair declined as the US Service PMI data was better than expected. Experts expected this data to be worse than previous one. However, as you may see, Service PMI was even better than expected. There is another set of US data today. We advise to pay attention to the US Durable Goods orders as this statistics may influence further EUR/USD direction for today. Unemployment Claims data is also worth your attention.

There is still no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The upside correction is done already as it was limited in time. We expect the currency pair to continue its decline this week. However, it is important to pay attention to fundamental factors.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. There is a good opportunity to enter the market today. However, everything may change after the US data. In addition, the currency pair is unable to break through the trend line. We advise to avoid trading as the situation is unclear.     

 

GBPUSD

27_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair offered an opportunity to open short trades from the trend line. However, there was no further decline. The currency pair went down for about 250 pips and it was enough to protect your trades. You had a chance to move stop losses to breakeven area. The situation is still unclear and we give no recommendations. 

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. Last week was corrective and we expect the currency pair to continue to go down in the next couple of days. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to do nothing at the moment as there are some doubts about further situation development. 

AUDUSD

27_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair fails to go upwards. There was another attempt to resume the uptrend but it was unsuccessful. It means that AUD/USD is unable to continue the upside tendency. It is better to consider short trades. The tendency still has no changes but this significant downside move may lead to a break of the uptrend tomorrow. 

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the Ma55 balance line. The currency pair made some attempts to grow but it declined in the end of the last week. The situation is still unclear. There is a probability that AUD/USD is going to decline towards 0,71800 in the nearest future.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment. 

USDCHF

27_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair moved down sharply yesterday and if you had an opportunity to open short trades according to our recommendations, you would have a chance to take some profit. USD/CHF declined to the profit area for about 450 pips. Trend is still neutral and we advise to avoid trading at the moment.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair continued its growth last week. We expect USD/CHF to accelerate its growth in the nearest future.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision presently as the situation is still unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 27, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

27_10_2016_gold.jpg

There was no growth to 1280,00 as the price went on correction. We think that there is more space for Gold to grow. However there are some signs that the current tendency may be changed, especially if the price is going to break through the trend line. If XAU/USD fails to break through the line, there will be an opportunity to open long trades from the MA55 balance line area.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction is still developing and we expect it to continue this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. You may try long trades from the MA55. Place stop below the trendline. 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

27_10_2016_silver.jpg

There was a correction towards the MA55 balance line and you had an opportunity to open long trades. However, the price declined even deeper and triggered stop losses. It is better to open long trades as the price is still higher than the trendline. However, there is no trend at the moment and we advise to avoid trading.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There is an upside correction and we expect it to develop in the next couple of days.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the trendline. Place stop losses below it. 

   


 

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Technical Outlook October 28, 2016


EURUSD

28_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair made another unsuccessful attempt to break through the trendline. It is clear that this trendline prevents EUR/USD from further growth. In this case we gave no recommendations. There is a probability that the currency pair is going to develop its downside tendency. There are many signs of further downtrend. Yesterday’s US data almost met the expectations. However, if today’s US statistics is better than expected, there is a probability of decline. However, the MA-channel still looks upwards. We give no recommendations in this situation. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The upside correction was short-term and limited in time. We expect the currency pair to decline in the next couple of days. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We think that here is a good position to open short trades. However, as we have previously mention, the uptrend is still dominating the market. We give no recommendations.     

 

GBPUSD

28_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair had some growth yesterday after the release of the Prelim UK GDP q/q data. Previous meaning was 0,7%. This time it fell down to 0,5%. However, it was better than 0,3% forecasted. It is to mention that the currency pair growth changed with a considerable decline. It is to mention that UK data is better than expected, but the currency pair has a downside bias. We think that it is possible that GBP/USD is going to cross the trendline and establish new lows. 

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. We have seen a sort of a correction last week. It is probable that the decline is going to continue this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision today, as the situation is still unclear.  

AUDUSD

28_10_2016_aud(1).jpg

 

The currency pair changed its direction according to our expectations. It is time to look for short trades. We advise to open trades from the MA55 balance line as it is safer to start working from this area. However, there is a probability that the currency pair will be unable to reach that area. If this happens, we advise you to search for entry points on your own.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair made attempts to grow. However, it declined in the last days of the last week. It is still unclear what is to happen in the nearest future. However, we think that the scenario to reach 0,71800 is still actual.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stops above the curve. 

USDCHF

28_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair continues to be trading within a horizontal range. There is a probability of an upside momentum today. We advise to follow US Prelim GDP q/q data as it may change market situation significantly. Anyway, USD/CHF was here for a long time and it is possible that there will be a sharp momentum. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair continues its growth and we expect it to accelerate this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision today as the situation is still unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 28, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

28_10_2016_gold.jpg

There was an opportunity to open long trades from the MA55 balance line (or from the trendline). However, later we have seen that the growth had almost no progress. The currency pair offered a chance to fix positions with some small profit. You had also an alternative to leave your trades as they were. However, there is a probability of changes in the current trend. We advise to search for short trades.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the  price is above the MA55 balance line. There was an upside correction last week and we expect it to continue.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards but the price is close to the MA55 balance line. You may try to open short trades if the currency pair breaks through the trendline. Place stop losses above the curve. 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

28_10_2016_silver.jpg

XAG/USD failed to decline towards the trendline to offer opportunities for long positions. However, if you had a chance to buy from the trendline area, there was some small growth and an opportunity to take small profit. The tendency has already changed and we advise  to search for short signals from the broken through trendline.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was an upside correction and we expect it to continue this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short positions when the price breaks through the trend line. Place stop losses above the MA55. 

   


 

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Technical Outlook October 31, 2016


EURUSD

31_10_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair went upwards on Friday regardless the better than expected Advance GDP q/q US data. It was truly unpredictable as everything hinted on further decline of EUR/USD. Experts think that USD fall was due to new FBI investigation concerning US candidate Clinton private email that was used to transfer secret data. However, advance GDP US data was better than expected and Interest Rates hike odds rise again There is a probability of the uptrend to accelerate and we advise to search for long trades.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was in a flat last week and then went upwards on Friday. We think that the upside correction is on the way and it may target 1,11500.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair is still far from the MA55 and we give no recommendations for the EUR/USD today.     

 

GBPUSD

31_10_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair was trading with an upside bias despite the better than expected US Advance GDP q/q data. There was no new lows established. However, the lower trend line change its position. It looks like being more logical at the moment. It is difficult to predict further currency pair dynamics at the moment. We think that the downside bias it preferable as GBP is still under pressure after Brexit referendum.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had a correctional mood last week. However, there is a probability of further decline at any moment. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. There is a probability of a correction towards the upper trend line. Then, we expect the currency pair to resume its downtrend.  

AUDUSD

31_10_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair failed to reach the MA55 balance line and there was no opportunity to open short trades according to our recommendations. AUD/USD has crossed the balance line today and there is a probability of change in current trend. However, if there is some further growth it may target 0,76800 only and then we expect the currency pair to decline again. 

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair attempted to grow but it declined in the end of the last week. We still have no idea how this situation is going to develop. However, we think that the downside scenario targeting 0,71800 is still actual.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is unclear. 

USDCHF

31_10_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair had a downside momentum last week. We expected it to go upwards and gave no recommendations. USD/CHF was in a downtrend but the price is still far from the MA55 balance line and we give no recommendations. We think that the price is going to correct towards the balance line and there will be some opportunities to open trades tomorrow.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA5 balance line. There was no growth acceleration. USD/CHF reversed its tendency instead. We expect the currency pair to continue its decline in the nearest future.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision at the moment as the situation is stil unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Analysis October 31, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

31_10_2016_gold.jpg

There was an opportunity to open short trades when the price crossed the trendline. XAU/USD was in a profit area allowing to fix successful positions. However, the price went upwards on Friday’s evening and this reverse was due to the political situation in the USA (as some experts say). USD lost some positions as tension is growing on the eve of US presidential. Even stronger than expected US Advance GDP q/q data was unable to support USD.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction becomes faster and may target 1306,00.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stops below the curve. 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

31_10_2016_silver.jpg

There was no breakthrough of the trend line and short trades failed to be executed according to our recommendation. XAG/USD changed its tendency as well and we advise to search for long trades. It is better to wait until the price goes towards the MA55 balance line. 

The uptrend is on progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction continues and we had to adjust the red trendline. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stops below the MA55. 

   


 

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Technical Outlook November 1, 2016


EURUSD

01_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair was in a local downtrend before the American session and even reached the balance line. Eurozone Flash GDP q/q data met the forecasts but the US data was mixed. Personal Spendings met the forecasts and the Chicago PMI was worse than expected. USD was under the pressure during American session. The currency pair was trading within a range and this tendency is likely to continue today on the eve of tomorrow’s FOMC meetings. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair had no clear bias last week and then went upwards on Friday. We think that this fact proves the beginning of a correction that may last up to 1,11500.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair is trading within a range and you may try long trades from the MA55 balance line with close targets.     

 

GBPUSD

01_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair was trading with an upside bias yesterday after weaker than expected US Chicago PMI data. There was a growth towards the upper trendline, that we had expected previously. We gave no recommendations as there was the downtrend. Today we expect the price to bounce off the upper trendline. 

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was a sort of correction last week. However, we expect the currency pair to continue its decline in the nearest future. 

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We think that there is a probability of a bounce off from the upper trendline. However, we give no recommendations as the trend still looks upwards.   

AUDUSD

01_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair went upwards to the expected 0,76800 area and we think that there is a probability of a correction from there. There was a reverse and there is the uptrend at the moment. The currency pair fluctuates according to our scenario. However, we give no recommendations as we do not advise to trade against the trend. The Reserve Bank of Australia took a decision to leave its monetary policy unchanged.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair made some attempts to grow but it declined in the end of the last week. It is still unclear whether AUD/USD is going to grow or decline. However, we think that it is able to went downwards towards 0,71800.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line and the MA-channel goes upwards. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear. 

USDCHF

01_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

There was a correction towards the balance line as we had expected and we advise to search for short trades along the current trend. Today there is an important Swiss Retail Sales data. This statistics may exert pressure on CHF.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is still fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. There was no acceleration of growth and the tendency reversed. We expect the currency pair to decline further this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses above the curve or above the trendline that is even better.


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 1, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

01_11_2016_gold.jpg

There was an opportunity to open long trades according to our recommendations. However, eventual profit was too small. If you position is still in play, you can protect it by placing stop loss at breakeven level and partially fix your trades. There is still some support to XAU/USD. However, the situation is unstable and this support may disappear at any moment. We are on the eve of the FOMC meetings.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction becomes stronger and may last until 1306,00.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the curve. 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

01_11_2016_silver.jpg

There was no opportunity to open long trades as XAG/USD was far from the safe area for trading. However, we may state that the uptrend is in progress and even accelerates. You nay try to open long trades today if the prices gets closer to the MA55 balance line.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction is still progressing. We had to adjust the red trendline. We expect XAG/USD to trade with the same dynamics this week. 

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55. Place stop losses below the curve. 

   


 

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Technical Outlook November 2, 2016


EURUSD

02_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair had a sharp growth yesterday after the latest news concerning US Presidential. FBI continues its investigation against Clinton and Donald Trump has some advantage. This candidate is a dark horse and nobody has no idea what to expect from him. That is why incertitude grows as it is hard to say what trump is going to do if he wins the elections. Tension increases and the situation is unstable. There was no opportunity to open long trades according to our recommendations as the price did not reach the MA55 balance line. The key event for today is the FOMC meeting. We advise to pay attention to this meeting.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was in a horizontal range last week and then went upwards on Friday. It is probable, that the correction started. It may target 1,11500.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel.     

 

GBPUSD

02_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair crossed the trendline on the Hourly chart. However, the breakthrough was no clear. The trendline is not important or it should be adjusted. There was no further growth of the currency pair as UK Manufacturing PMI was even worse than expected. We think that the currency pair still has some potential for further growth. However, the upside tendency is going to be unstable. The main event for today is the FOMC meeting. Also, we advise to pay attention to ADP Non-Farm employment change.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was a correction last week. We think that this correction is going to continue in the nearest future. 

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. You may try long trades with low volumes from the MA55 curve.   

AUDUSD

02_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair bounced off 0,76800 area according to our expectations. AUD/USD is fluctuating according to the scenario that we have predicted previously. We gave no recommendations as those trades will be against the main direction. We expect the currency pair to continue its growth today you may try to open long trades along the uptrend. Particular attention should be paid to the FOMC meeting and we advise to protect your trades before this event.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair made some attempts to grow but declined on Friday. The destiny of AUD/USD is still unclear. However, we think that it has chances to reach 0,71800.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line area. Place stop losses below the curve. 

USDCHF

02_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair almost reached the MA55 balance line and there was an opportunity to open short trades according to our recommendations. Those positions could bring you about 1600 pips. It is rare to see such a momentum if we talk about USD/CHF. However, you had a chance to fix your profit. We advise to pay attention to the FOMC meeting today as this event may influence fluctuations. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. There was no growth acceleration last week. The price reversed and we expect the currency pair to go downwards this week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decision as the situation is unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 2, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

02_11_2016_gold.jpg

If you had Long trades from Monday, there is enough profit there at the moment. However, it is impossible to open new trades as the price did not went towards the balance line. USD is still under pressure as FBI continues to investigate Clinton’s private mail affair. Donald J. Trump is on the lead at the moment. It is hard to say what is going to be if this candidate becomes US president. US FOMC meeting is the main event for today and we advise to avoid trading.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart a the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction takes force and may last until 1306,00.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards but the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the situation is unclear. 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

02_11_2016_silver.jpg

Silver did not reach the balance line and there was no opportunity to open long trades according to our recommendations. The uptrend is accelerating offering not a single possibility to enter the market. The FOMC meeting is the main event today and we advise to avoid trading.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. We have adjusted the red trendline. There is a probability that the last week’s dynamics is going to continue.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading. 


 
   


 

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Technical Outlook November 3, 2016


EURUSD

03_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair resumed its upside tendency as the situation with US Presidential campaign is still unclear. Investors had no doubts that Clinton is going to win before the beginning of this week. However, thinks have changed and Donald J. Trump has chances to win as well. This turbulence has a significant impact on markets as even key players have no idea what Trump is going to do if he becomes the US President. The results of yesterday’s FOMC Meeting shows signs of a probability of Interest rates hike in December. However, if trump wins the elections, we are not sure that the FOMC decides to hike Rates because of a possible market turbulence. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was in a flat last week but grew on Friday. There is a probability of a correction that may last until 1,11500.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the Ma55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the price is still close to the upper side of the MA-channel.     

 

GBPUSD

03_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair offered an opportunity to open long trades in the morning and it was in a profit area for more than 1200 pips. It is better to fix this trade at the moment if you did not do it still. The upcoming Bank of England’s MPC Meeting along with the UK Services PMI may have a considerable impact on GBP/USD and the fluctuations may be in both directions. 

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was a sort of correction last week but we expect the currency pair to resume its downtrend at any moment.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We recommend avoiding trading today as the price is far from the Ma55 balance line.   

AUDUSD

03_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair went upwards along the trend for 500 pips and there was an opportunity to take about 300 pips as profit. There was a decline towards the balance line today in the morning. The currency pair offered an opportunity to open long trades. We think that there will be another chance to buy from the MA55 today. We advise to carefully follow fluctuations.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair made attempts to grow but declined in the end of the last week. We still have no idea what is going to happen in the nearest future. The probability to reach 0,71800 is still actual. 

The uptrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55. Place stop losses below the lower trend line. 

USDCHF

03_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair was trading close to the lower side of the MA-channel offering no opportunities to open trades. This area is too risky to buy or to sell as there is a probability of a good correction. We advise to take no decisions at the moment. It is better to wait for a correction towards the balance line.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. There was no growth acceleration and the tendency reversed. We think that the downtrend is going to develop this week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is still unclear. 


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 3, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

03_11_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD continues to grow despite the probability of Interest Rates hike in December. However, the situation with US Presidential remains unclear. Investors search for safe assets and choose gold instead of USD. We think that in case if Trump wins the elections, there is a probability of market turbulence and FOMC will not be able to hike Rates. There is no opportunity to open any trades as the price is far from the balance line. The currency pair is ready for a correction.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction becomes stronger and may last until 1306,00.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment. 

SILVER (XAGUSD)

03_11_2016_silver.jpg

Silver continues its growth. There is no opportunity to open trades as the price is far from the balance line. There is a probability of a correction if price is unable to establish new highs.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction resumed last week and we had to adjust the red trendline. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment. 

   


 

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Technical Outlook November 4, 2016


EURUSD

04_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair made a sharp reverse from upside to downside. Investors decided to fix their positions before Fridays US Labor Market data to protect themselves from surprises. The majority of market participants knows that US Labor Market data releases every month and they try to avoid trading as it is too risky. You may try to open trades after the release if this data is to be better or worse than expected. However, we do not give any recommendations.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was trading in a horizontal range last week. We think that a correction begins. It may last until 1,11500.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions before the release of the US Labor Market data today.     

 

GBPUSD

04_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair had a considerable growth yesterday. London Court prevents British government from taking any further Brexit steps without Parliamentary approval. It means that May’s plans to start brutal Brexit on March 2017 are in danger. Market participants reacted immediately as there is a probability that this procedure is not going to be simple. Bank of England decided to leave current monetary policy unchanged. There is a very important US Labor Market data today and we give no recommendations as it is too risky to trade before the release.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was a correction last week and we expect the currency pair to continue this tendency in the nearest future. 

The uptrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel.   

AUDUSD

04_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair approached the MA55 balance line and there was an opportunity to buy according to our recommendations. However, there was no further growth as the US Labor Market data is to be released today. The upper trendline was broken through and we think that the currency pair is going to continue its upside tendency in the nearest future. You may place stop losses at breakeven level and hold your opened trades.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair attempted to grow but declined in the end of the last week. We still have no idea how this situation is going to solve. However, there is a probability that the currency pair is going to reach 0,71800.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to hold long trades as long as it is possible according to the situation. 

USDCHF

04_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair is in the area where the downside tendency may be broken. The MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the Balance line. However, there is an important US Labor Market data today and we advise to avoid trading.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. There was no growth acceleration and we have seen the tendency to reverse last week. We expect this trend to continue in the nearest future.

There is no trend on the Hourly timeframe as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment.


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 4, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

04_11_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD started its correction yesterday. As we have noticed previously, the price was in a area, which was hard to breakthrough. Market participants decided to fix their long positions because of the US Labor Market data which is to be released today. Investors prefer to avoid risks as this data provoke high volatility.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly timeframe as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction may last until 1306,00.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations today as important US Labor Market data is to be released.  

SILVER (XAGUSD)

04_11_2016_silver.jpg

Silver was unable to establish new highs and a correction started according to our expectations. The downside tendency is in place and we could even give recommendations to open short trades. However, we advise nothing as the US Labor Market data is approaching and it is better to avoid trading before the release. 

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There is an upside correction and we had to adjust the red trendline. We expect the upside dynamics to continue this week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly timeframe as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations today as the important US Labor Market data may provoke high volatility. 


 
   


 

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Technical Outlook November 7, 2016


EURUSD

07_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

Friday’s US Labor Market data was not surprising and market reaction to it was quiet. This new week started with a sharp USD growth as FBI decided to not to institute the proceedings against Clinton. The main event for the upcoming days is US Presidential elections. They are to take place on Tuesday. We advise to avoid trading today and tomorrow as technical patterns may be broken. We expect the volatility to grow considerably. According to the latest interviews, Hillary Clinton has some advantage again. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached 1,11500 target last week. We expect US Presidential elections to have a considerable impact on the currency pair.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions today as the US Presidential elections are coming soon and we have seen the tendency to be broken on the eve of this important event.     

 

GBPUSD

07_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair continued its growth as the High Court of London vetoed the Brexit procedure without parliamentary approval. It means that The Brexit may be delayed. This event influenced the currency pair for two days. However, during weekend there was another important news coming from the USA and GBP/USD bias changed to downside. We expect the currency pair to react on all events concerning the US Presidential campaign.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair growth last week was influenced by some fundamental factors. We expect USD to continue its upside tendency if Clinton wins the elections.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as we expect the volatility to grow on the eve of the US Presidential elections.   

AUDUSD

07_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

Long trades were fixed at breakeven level as there was no further growth. We think that the currency pair may fall any moment as the time for growth is already in the past. However, we advise to wait until the results of the US presidential elections in order to take any further steps.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The situation is still disputable at the moment and we advise to take no decisions. However, we think that the currency pair may reach 0,71800.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading before the release of the results of the US Presidential elections. 

USDCHF

07_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair is still trying to break a downside correction. The volatility is growing on the eve of the US Presidential elections. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as it is still unclear who is going to win the elections. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair declined according to our expectations. It is hard to establish a clear direction as everything depends on the US Presidential elections results. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment.


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 7, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

07_11_2016_gold.jpg

GOLD had almost no reaction on US labor Market data on Friday. This data was worse than expected. However, XAU/USD was unable to establish new highs. USD is growing today in the morning as FBI announced that it is not going to institute proceeding against Clinton. US Presidential elections are going to take place tomorrow. We advise to avoid trading before the results of the event.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction reached 1306,00 last week. However, the situation is unstable and we advise to avoid trading today. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today on the eve of the US Presidential elections.  

SILVER (XAGUSD)

07_11_2016_silver.jpg

Silver continued to develop its downside dynamics. XAG/USD reacted on news that FBI is not going to institute proceedings against US candidate Clinton. WE advise to avoid trading at the moment as US Presidential campaign has considerable impact on the market.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. An upside correction continued last week according to our expectations. It is hard to predict fluctuations this week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading before the end of the US Presidential campaign. 


 
   


 

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Technical Outlook November 8, 2016


EURUSD

08_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

The currency pair declined yesterday on the eve of the US presidential elections. FBI will not institute proceedings against Clinton. This news supported USD. US Presidential elections have already started and we will soon know the results of this campaign. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as technical analysis may fail at any moment and the volatility is expected to be high.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair almost reached its target at 1,11500 last week. We expect the currency pair to be trading according the results of the US Presidential campaign. 

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the Moving Average with 55 period. We can see the tendency to break and the volatility to increase in the eve of the US Presidential elections.     

 

GBPUSD

08_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair changes its tendency on Monday as USD started its uptrend. The expectations that Clinton is going to win elections grow and USD rules the market as US Presidential elections is the main event for today and even for this week. We advise to avoid trading today as technical analysis may fail and the volatility is growing.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the Moving Average with 55 period. The currency pair growth last week was due to fundamental factors. We expect USD to resume its uptrend this week if Clinton is going to win the elections.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today before the release of the results of the US Presidential elections. The situation is still unstable.    

AUDUSD

08_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair did some steps yesterday that may be a sign of further AUD/USD growth. There is an opportunity to open long trades from the MA55 balance line at the moment. However, we advise to wait until the end of the US Presidential elections which take part today. We expect the volatility to grow and trading is too risky at the moment.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the Moving Average with 55th period. The situation is still unclear and we advise to continue to monitor the chart. However, there is still the probability of the downside move towards 0,71800.

The Hourly chart shows the uptrend as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the balance line (MA55). We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is still unclear. 

USDCHF

08_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

There was an opportunity to open long trades today. However, we advise to avoid taking any actions before the release of the results of the US Presidential elections. It is too risky to enter the market at the moment as the volatility may increase anytime.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was trading in a downside bias according to our expectations. It is still hard to determine a bias of fluctuations as everything depends on the results of the Presidential elections.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is still unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 8, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

08_11_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD declined on Monday after the FBI announced it will not institute proceedings against US candidate Clinton. We expect this decline to slow down as market is waiting for the results of the elections. If Clinton is going to win it, there is a probability of further USD growth.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction reached 1306,00 last week. There is a probability of many surprises this week and we advise to take any decisions only after the end of the US presidential campaign.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading before the release of the results of US Presidential campaign.  

SILVER (XAGUSD)

08_11_2016_silver.jpg

Silver declined and then stopped within Thursday’s range. The market is waiting for the results of the US Presidential campaign. We advise to take no decision at the moment as the volatility is likely to grow as well as the risks.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was an upside correction last week according to our expectations. It is hard to predict a bias this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. It is better to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear. 


 
   


 

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Technical Outlook November 9, 2016


EURUSD

09_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

Donald Trump reached the necessary 270 votes to become 45th president of the USA. The currency pair had a sharp upside momentum today in the morning. USD was losing its positions on news telling that Trump was in the lead of the Presidential campaign. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as it is unclear what is going to happen next. There was a sharp momentum and then we have seen a correction, which won back all previously gained positions. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached 1,11500 level last week. However, the currency pair is going to be trading according to fundamental factors this week. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. The volatility was large today in the morning. It is better to avoid trading at the moment.     

 

GBPUSD

09_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair had weaker reaction on the US Presidential campaign results than the others. However, there was some growth and GBP/USD declines at the moment. Donald Trump won the elections with more than 270 votes necessary. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the market situation is still unclear.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair growth last week was due to fundamental factors. We expect USD to resume its growth if Clinton wins the elections. However, there may be an upside momentum if Trump becomes the President.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. There is an increase in volatility today in the morning.    

AUDUSD

09_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair was trading in a different manner yesterday and today we see it clearly. However, everything is changing very fast and the direction of quotes is changing. We advise to wait until the situation normalizes in order to take any further steps.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the Moving Average with period 55. The situation is truly disputable and we advise to avoid trading at the moment. It is better to monitor simply fluctuations waiting for better opportunities. However, the scenario to reach 0,71800 is still actual.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. The volatility is growing and we advise to avoid trading at the moment. 

USDCHF

09_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

We have seen some volatility growth today as the US Presidential Campaign was coming to the end. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear. Donald Trump won the elections and fluctuations becomes more stable. 

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was trading downwards according to our expectations last week. It is hard to predict what it to happen this week as fundamental factors are going to influence fluctuations.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is still unclear.


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 9, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

09_11_2016_gold.jpg

XAU/USD is growing on the latest US Presidential Campaign data. Donald Trump won the elections with more than 270 votes necessary to be nominated. Market participants expected Clinton to win. They were persuaded in Democratic domination as USD was in the uptrend in the beginning of this week. It is better to avoid trading at this moment as the situation remains unstable. 

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction reached 1306,00 last week. It is hard to predict what is going to happen this week even after the end of the elections. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading before the final results of the US Presidential Campaign.   

SILVER (XAGUSD)

09_11_2016_silver.jpg

Silver was also in the uptrend after latest new on the US Presidential Campaign. Donald Trump has won the election having more than 270 votes necessary to be nominated. However, the situation is still unstable and we advise to avoid trading at the moment. There is a probability of a sharp change of this tendency.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The was an upside correction according to our expectations but it is still hard to predict fluctuations this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the Moving Average with period 55. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is still far from being stable. 


 
   


 

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Technical Outlook November 10, 2016


EURUSD

10_11_2016_eur.jpg

 

US Presidential Campaign came to an end and the market situation stabilises step-by-step. The currency pair goes back to the downtrend and we advise to search for short trades when the price reaches the balance line. Today it is worth paying attention to US Unemployment Claims data. However, expected figure is close to the previous meaning and we expect no serious impact of this statistics on the currency pair.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair almost reached its target at 1,11500 last week. We expect fundamental factors to influence fluctuations in the nearest future.

The downtrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the Moving Average with period 55. We advise to avoid trading before the price is back to this MA55 balance line. There will be opportunities for selling from the curve.     

 

GBPUSD

10_11_2016_gbp.jpg

 

The currency pair had almost no sharp momentum during the US presidential elections. GBP/USD is trading without any direction at the moment. It is better to wait until a clear bias establishes. We think that the currency pair looks downwards but we give no recommendations at the moment as there is no trend and the situation is still disputable.

There is the downtrend on the on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was growing last week due to fundamental factors. US Presidential Campaign is done already with Donald Trump to win. There is a probability of further USD growth in the nearest future.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the Ma-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to monitor the situation and avoid trading as there is no clear direction of fluctuations.    

AUDUSD

10_11_2016_aud.jpg

 

The currency pair stabilises after sharp fluctuations. There is a clear downtrend as we can see it on the chart. The trendline was broken through and the probability of further decline is still very high. You may try to search for entry points in order to open positions around this area. 

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The situation is disputable and we advise to avoid taking any decisions. However, we still believe that the currency pair is able to reach 0,71800.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from 0,7670-7680 area. Place stop losses above the MA55 balance line. 

USDCHF

10_11_2016_chf.jpg

 

The currency pair rallied in both directions during the US Presidential elections. USD/CHF broke through the trendline yesterday and went upwards. The Ma-channel indicates on the uptrend as well. However, the price is close to the upper side of the Ma-channel and we give no recommendations in this situation.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was trading with a downside bias last week according to our expectations. However, it is hard to predict a trend this week as USD/CHF is under the impact of fundamental factors. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55 balance line. You may try long trades with low volumes from the broken through trendline. Place stop losses below this line.


Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 10, 2016


GOLD (XAUUSD)

10_11_2016_gold.jpg

Gold is still influenced by the Trump victory. However, we expect XAU/USD to stabilise its fluctuations and establish a bias. There is still no trend. The MA-channel shows no clear direction. The trendline on the Hourly chart remains unbroken and this fact may be a sign of further upside tendency.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The upside correction reached 1306,00 area last week. However, fundamental factors will have a considerable impact on XAU/USD this week and we advise to take any decision only when the situation is clear. 

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the Ma55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as the situations is still unclear.   

SILVER (XAGUSD)

10_11_2016_silver.jpg

Silver established the uptrend finally and is trading according to this tendency today. We advise to buy from the MA55 balance line area. However, the price has already left this area. We expect XAG/USD to reenter this area again today.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was an upside correction last week. However, it is hard to predict fluctuations this week.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 area. Place stop losses below the curve. 


 
   


 

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