Jump to content

We have a brand new contest on TopGoldForum with $30 cash prizes. Enroll now and win

Advertise your business on Top Gold Forum today for as low as $100 per month. Contact us.

sakura

Members
  • Content count

    225
  • Points

    978 
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

0 Neutral

About sakura

  • Rank
    Money Maker
  1. Safe as houses? Not if you live in Australia According to Jonathan Tepper, one of the world’s experts in housing bubbles, Australia is experiencing the biggest property bubble in history. It has lasted 55 years and seen prices increase 6556% since 1961. “It is the only country we know of where middle-class houses are auctioned like paintings,” he observed recently. When it crashes it’s likely to bring Australia’s economy crashing down with it, as it’s the only sector which has driven GDP growth of late. It’s one of those rare opportunities traders relish because the volatility in the market will be big and significantly increases the chance of being able to make a huge gain from an investment. You can thank State and Federal governments for this opportunity. They have done everything they can to fuel the housing market in an effort to boost Australia’s economy and offset the decline in the value and volume of its chief exports iron ore and coal. The growth of the economy has provided governments with a source of tax revenue and proof to voters that their policies result in economic success. The Australian media has also been complicit in the perpetuation of the property bubble. Objective reporting on property has disappeared because the Murdoch and Fairfax duopoly, which controls media output in the country, have been protecting their only major growth profit centres realestate.com.au and Domain the country’s two largest real estate portals. Headlines celebrating a 26-year-old train driver who services the debt on five million dollars worth of property with his salary and rental income have become commonplace, with hordes of others being similarly celebrated for their achievements. The formula for success which has enabled individuals on modest incomes to gain ownership of seven figure property portfolios comes through the black magic of cross-collateralised residential mortgages, where Australian banks allow the unrealised capital gain of one property to secure financing to purchase another property. This unrealised capital gain takes the place of a cash deposit. For instance, if the house bought a year ago for $350,000 is now valued at $450,000 the bank is willing to let the owner use that equity gain to finance the purchase of another property. For more detail : Safe as houses? Not if you live in Australia
  2. Traders cashing in on PayPal success In his note to clients Faucette noted that the market may have been overly concerned about a potentially negative impact of renegotiation of its contract with eBay, and that PayPal is maintaining its massive acceptance as an e-commerce website over other digital wallets and that it is expected to benefit significantly from e-commerce tailwinds. It looks like a great time for traders to start getting friendly with PayPal (PYPL) shares after Morgan Stanley’s James Faucette upped his price target to 76 from 62 along with a number of other analysts who are equally enthusiastic about the online payment service provider. The above chart plots the increase in share value which has grown steadily from the beginning the year, and which is expected to continue after the third quarter earnings report is released. In his note to clients Faucette noted that the market may have been overly concerned about a potentially negative impact of renegotiation of its contract with eBay, and that PayPal is maintaining its massive acceptance as an e-commerce website over other digital wallets and that it is expected to benefit significantly from e-commerce tailwinds. What PayPal has over its competitors is consumer trust. It feels like it has been around for a long time, and that’s a priceless commodity in the e-commerce age. Since its spin-off from former parent company eBay in 2015 PayPal has expanded into a payments service provider, incorporating mobile payments into its operations. It has also reaped the benefits of giving consumers more options at checkout by using credit cards following its online checkout deals with Visa and Mastercard in 2016. For more detail : Traders cashing in on PayPal success
  3. Why most traders do not succeed in forex Trading? Making profits through stocks and shares is not an easy job. Inadequate trading methods, lack of confidence, patience and discipline can lead to a lack of success in the stock market. A trader should really know the tricks of trading. Inexperienced traders, who lack insight, risk all their money in one stock without planning before investing. Planning is a necessary standard in the stock market as complex trading techniques and lack of planning will contribute to the failure of the trader; therefore, successful traders always develop a plan. Lazy Traders will definitely fail Without significant planning a trader will fail. Many traders are too lazy to develop a successful trading plan as it requires a lot of effort. Effort is necessary for success in the stock market, not just luck. Traders who are too confident and lazy are always in a hurry to chance their luck, which results in failure. Too much Trading Most of the traders have an addiction to the stock market and invest too much money. In the process of trying to win more and more money, greedy traders can lose a significant amount of money. Good traders should not act like gamblers as trading in Forex is more skilful than gambling at the casino. Avoiding Demo trading Demo trading is compulsory before actually trading. Traders who are too confident and greedy do not understand the significance of demo trading. Demo trading should be done over an adequate period of time so that a good knowledge of market trends and trading techniques can be obtained. You can get a good idea about how you will perform in real trading through demo trading. In most cases, it is found that traders who cannot earn profits in demo trading cannot earn profits in real trading either. For more detail : Why most traders do not succeed in forex Trading?
  4. Bitcoin mania: Is it too late to join the rush? When the Wall Street Journal runs a headline that reads Bitcoin: Even Grandma Wants In On The Action, you’re simply compelled to find out more about the stand-out cryptocurrency that is grabbing all the attention. For months now, Bitcoin’s rapid price swings have been prompting volatility-starved investors to join the biggest speculative boom since the dotcom fever in the 1990s. In the six minutes following the start of Bitcoin futures trading, the contract expiring in January which opened at $15,000 rose to $16,600. Trading on Monday morning (December 11th) in London the contract was changing hands at $17,500. Bitcoin itself was at $16,635.05 according to CoinDesk. Right now there is no hotter ticket having started 2017 at $968.23. The temptation to join the rush is tempered by the fear that its value is being driven purely on speculation and that the bubble is about to burst. Some are convinced it’s the real thing. John McAfee – founder of the eponymously named software – doubled down on his previous prediction and claimed: “I’ll eat my own d**k on national TV if Bitcoin doesn’t surpass $1 million by 2020.” More and more investors have chosen to set aside Bitcoin’s questionable past, for instance its use by criminal elements, and focused on the potential that it could replace gold as an investment to hold when faith ebbs in fiat currencies. “We now have millions of active users,” said Peter Smith, chief executive of Bitcoin services firm Blockchain.info. “We didn’t have a million last year.” Bitcoin’s meteoric rise has seen interest increase in other cryptocurrencies like Litecoin, Ethereum, Dash and Ripple. The latter’s Interledger protocol is being explored by Microsoft as part of their own blockchain toolkit offering. CME Group Inc., the world’s biggest exchange group, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Have fuelled interest further by announcing intent to introduce products based on the virtual currency. CME’s Bitcoin futures contract is expected next week. Who knows what the price will be when that happens. They’ve witnessed the increasing number of investors and traders being drawn by Bitcoin’s volatility in a market where stocks and bonds have produced modest gains. Even technology stocks, which have rallied sharply this year, can’t compete with Bitcoin which has jumped 17-fold. For more detail : Bitcoin mania: Is it too late to join the rush?
  5. Best forex risk management strategies How to Get Best Forex Risk Management Strategies in Forex Trade? The Forex market has a daily trading volume of about three trillion dollars. In order to earn money successfully, you have to develop a very clever Forex risk management strategy. Of course, you cannot earn profits all the time with every single move. You have to deal with risk in order to earn profits as it is all about winning or losing in this trade. Portfolios that provide the best risk strategy are based on the experience of investors and traders. Role of Brokers in Forex Risk Management An investor should look for the most reliable and trustworthy financial partner with the best reputation in the Forex trade market. Trading in the Forex market becomes easier when you have professional and expert advice. For more detail : Best forex risk management strategies
  6. Why Choose the MetaTrader 5 Trading Platform Successful traders from around the world have chosen the MetaTrader 5 (MT5) platform for trading Forex, exchange instruments, futures, and CFDs. MetaTrader 5 is an effective, multi-functional platform that provides everything you need to trade the financial markets. MT5 platform can be used by advanced traders as well as beginners since it can be expanded to incorporate additional programs and instruments. The platform offers advanced financial trading functions as well as superior tools for technical and fundamental analysis. MetaTrader 5 can also trade automatically by using trading robots and trading signals. It is a trading platform that is capable of processing different financial instruments with a wide range of trading activity. Traders may use a wide selection of pre-installed technical indicators and graphical objects to analyse the markets. The MetaTrader 5 trading system offers an advanced Market Depth feature (with a tick chart and Time & Sales information), a separate accounting of orders and trades, the support of all types of trading orders and execution modes. It also allows you to chart assets at 21 different time frames and gives you the ability to have up to 100 charts open at any given time. With the One Click Trading function and the Market Depth option, users can buy and sell currency pairs, equities, futures and CFDs with just one click. More advantages of MT5 include a user-friendly interface, larger icons, and a wider range of timeframes. For more detail : Why Choose the MetaTrader 5 Trading Platform
  7. Don’t write off Sterling prematurely Last June’s post-Brexit vote sent GBP values plummeting against EUR and pretty much every international currency as the market tried to price in the negative implications for the UK economy. As unexpected as the vote to leave was, the market reaction – perhaps overreaction – was entirely predictable. The vote was preceded and followed by a raft of analyst predictions of a weak GBP amid fears Britain’s economy would grow more slowly outside of the EU. However, amid the eye-catching headlines, pro-Brexit economists said that leaving the EU would cause a shallow downturn at first but would end up boosting the UK economy in years to come. GBP RECOVERS DESPITE GLOOMY PREDICTIONS Despite difficult Brexit negotiations and the continued uncertainty surrounding the UK’s relationships with the EU going forward, GBP’s subsequent recovery says plenty about its historical importance and longevity and that needs to be factored in when predicting its future value. GBP’s is the oldest actively traded currency on the foreign exchange market, it’s also one of the most popular currencies traded on forex as a result that London is one of the biggest trading hubs in the world. Political uncertainty and war has triggered volatility in GBP’s value over the years, but it has always stood the test of time and has been relied upon as a global safe haven for investors. History seems to be repeating itself. For more detail : Don’t write off Sterling prematurely
  8. Bitcoin takes a big stride away from fringes of finance CME Group’s announcement on Tuesday (October 31) that it intends to offer futures on Bitcoin this month sent the cryptocurrency surging past $7,000 for the first time; the group’s move has been viewed as bringing Bitcoin a step closer to acceptance within mainstream finance by placing it alongside the CME’s stable of futures on interest rates, stock indices, commodities and currencies. Bitcoin’s price has soared from $966 at the start of the year, breaking through the $5,000 mark for the first time on October 11 before setting its latest benchmark at $7,000 on November 2. Futures are derivatives contracts that investors and companies typically use to speculate on prices or hedge risk against turns in the market. Other major markets like stocks, bonds, commodities and currencies all have derivatives based on them. CME’s futures option would allow investors to hedge bets that the price of bitcoin will rise, something that is difficult at present. CME Group, the world’s largest derivatives exchange, explained that the futures will be cash-settled and based on the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate, a Bitcoin price index it launched last year. The news comes as a surprise because in September CME president Bryan Durkin told Bloomberg: “I really don’t see us going forward with a futures contract in the very near future.” However, Terry Duffy, CME Group chairman and chief executive officer, explained that they were simply responding to increased interest in Bitcoin and that the new vehicle “will provide investors with transparency, price discovery and risk transfer capabilities.” Garrett See, chief executive of DV Chain told CNBC that CME’s announcement showed “cryptocurrencies are gaining more legitimacy in the financial marketplace. It’s really exciting. I think it’s going to bring a lot of liquidity.” The launch of bitcoin futures contracts is contingent on CME receiving regulatory approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). For more detail : Bitcoin takes a big stride away from fringes of finance
  9. Grow with us FXB Trading is reaching out to money managers and introducing brokers (IB) in online trading with a partnership opportunity that will take your revenue to the next level, and which can expand your business beyond the scope of its current limits. Our highly successful business model also accommodates affiliate managers and investors who are looking for a vehicle that will provide a new revenue stream without the need for any hands-on involvement in online trading itself. FXB Trading’s rise in the online trading industry has been a qualified success with exceptional growth achieved in this highly competitive $5 trillion industry over a relatively short period of time. Our success has been underpinned by a formula that combines unbeatable spread prices and industry leading commission rates combined with a support package that is more than a match for anyone in the industry. Part of our growth has been as a result of partnering with individuals who are looking to grow their networks but need someone who can provide the expertise, tools and incentives necessary to accelerate their own growth. At FXB Trading, our business model is broad enough to accommodate simple ‘Refer a Friend’ partnerships (which yield $250 per referral) to fully established white labels that have reached their potential in their current guise and are now ready to benefit from new support and marketing services. FXB is able to provide partners with branded education programmes encompassing webinars, seminars, workshops and events which will maximise your existing traders’ volume and attract new clients. The FXB model is also able to accommodate investors who are simply looking for a vehicle that can give them a return on the investment without the need to be involved in the day-to-day running of a brokerage. Wherever you are in the online trading lifecycle, FXB Trading offers a partnership package that can take your revenue beyond its current level and onto a growth path that exploits the full potential of your business. For more detail : Grow with us
  10. The Catalan parliament’s declaration of independence from Spain is set to wreak political turmoil in the country and is sure to have far-reaching repercussions for Europe. In response, Madrid passed measures to take direct control over the region and called for regional elections for December 21, but these measures will be tested as it’s unclear whether politicians and civil servants of the region will accept direct rule being imposed on them. On Sunday Spain’s prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, sacked Catalan president, Carles Puigdemont, who now faces up to 30 years in jail for his role in the regional parliament’s declaration of independence. The result was greeted with joy by pro-independence supporters gathered outside the parliament in Barcelona under the slogan “Let’s make the Republic”, hoping to put pressure on the parliament to act. The Catalan parliament vote came after Spanish prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, asked the senate to approve the government’s request for measures to impose direct rule on Catalunya. Over the weekend hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets of Barcelona to call for unity. Almost as soon as news of the declaration broke on Friday the markets reacted to send the Euro plunging. According to Reuters, the Euro held near three-month lows versus the dollar. The single currency was down 0.5 percent at $1.1590, putting it on track for its steepest weekly decline against the greenback in 11 months. Madrid’s blue-chip index the Ibex 35 was down 1.9 per cent in afternoon trading, with all but two of its constituents falling. Banks based in Catalunya were among the biggest losers, with Banco de Sabadell down 6% and CaixaBank down 4.6%. IAG, the parent company of British Airways and Iberia, the UK and Spanish flag carriers, was the biggest single faller in Madrid, down by over 6%. Investors also sold Spain’s government bonds, sending the yields on benchmark 10-year debt up by 5 basis points to 1.603%. The European Commission has been under pressure to mediate in the row given its destabilising effect on EU unity. But, so far, have only offered support for the Spanish government and ruling out the possibility that an independent Catalunya could become part of the EU. For more detail : Catalunya independence bid plunges Spain into crisis
  11. When the Wall Street Journal runs a headline that reads Bitcoin: Even Grandma Wants In On The Action, you’re simply compelled to find out more about the stand-out cryptocurrency that is grabbing all the attention. For months now, Bitcoin’s rapid price swings have been prompting volatility-starved investors to join the biggest speculative boom since the dotcom fever in the 1990s. In the space of 24 hours this week, Bitcoin rallied to an all-time high of $11,434 before sinking as much as 21% to $9,009, having started 2017 at $968.23, according research site CoinDesk. The temptation to join the rush is tempered by the fear that its value is being driven purely on speculation and that the bubble is about to burst. Then John McAfee – founder of the eponymously named software – doubled down on his previous prediction and claimed this week: “I’ll eat my own d**k on national TV if Bitcoin doesn’t surpass $1 million by 2020.” More and more investors have chosen to set aside Bitcoin’s questionable past, for instance its use by criminal elements, and focused on the potential that it could replace gold as an investment to hold when faith ebbs in fiat currencies. “We now have millions of active users,” said Peter Smith, chief executive of Bitcoin services firm Blockchain.info. “We didn’t have a million last year.” CME Group Inc., the world’s biggest exchange group, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are helping to pull Bitcoin from the financial periphery by exploring products based on the virtual currency. Next month CME is expected to launch a futures contract based on Bitcoin. They’ve witnessed the increasing number of investors and traders being drawn by Bitcoin’s volatility in a market where stocks and bonds have produced modest gains. Even technology stocks, which have rallied sharply this year, can’t compete with Bitcoin which has jumped 10-fold. However, Bitcoin’s growth has also attracted critics like J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. CEO James Dimon and Berkshire Hathaway Chairman Warren Buffett, who have argued that governments likely will ultimately crack down, crushing Bitcoin’s price. “Bitcoin is a speculative bubble that will pop at some point,” wrote Michael Oliver, a market analyst at Momentum Structural Analysis in North Carolina. Much like the dotcom bubble, however, the sector will become more mature after its reckoning, he added. For more detail : Bitcoin mania: Join the rush or beware the bubble?
  12. An Introduction to Order Flow Trading Order Flow trading has been a profitable mode of trading. It offers professional and retail traders with information based benefits as it provides the complex step-by-step analysis of Order Flow in the form of intuitive charts that can easily be understood. People have been confused about what Order Flow Trading(OFT) is exactly. OFT simply focuses on trying to predict the prices of the stocks through pending orders of other traders. In proper anticipation of prices, you need to make sure that the traders whom you are considering have to have large orders. They must be active market participants who have pending orders. Frightening facts about Order Flow Trading Trade gurus advise traders to trade what they see and forbid them from trading what they think. The market is not supposed to move according to your thoughts and it should not. Picking levels can be a dangerous way to handle your trading which has been prohibited by professional traders, but then order flow trading cannot be done without picking levels. This is the reason why OFT has been frightening for many traders. Traders who had been mentally picking up levels and simultaneously watching the price charts discovered that the levels were all blown away. However, things can be different by using tight stop losses, and more importantly if you consider the picking levels carefully. The Methods of Functioning of Order Flow Trading Picking up levels is really a tricky issue. OFT requires proper analysis power which is missed by most of the traders. With the aid of proper training, technology and proper support , you can master the art of picking levels to carry on with OFT. There are methods of Order Flow Trading: 1. Identifying the apparent resistance levels along with the likely support to be confirmed by the price action. Once the price arrives the expected level is the trading method preached by the knowledgeable traders. This is one of the methods of order flow trading since the method depends on the expectation that there are lots of orders on the various levels. For more detail : An introduction to order flow trading
  13. For years Starbucks Corporation’s (SBUX) shares have mirrored their phenomenal success, but recently the coffee giant has come under attack from the likes of McDonalds and other fast food giants as well as indie coffee shops which has been reflected in the value of their share price. After reaching a peak price of $64.87 in June, Starbucks shares are down 1.41% overall this year. However, Starbucks has expanded into new territories and brought greater convenience to its clients with the use of innovation which has prompted some analysts to predict that the coffee-making giant will surprise Wall Street when it releases its fourth quarter earnings on November 2. Starbucks experienced tremendous growth between 2011 and 2016 with sales growth above 5%. It all changed in the third quarter of 2016 when sales growth was just 4% while for the first time transaction growth was flat. For the next quarter, sales growth remained below 5% while transaction growth was negative (-1%). Starbucks’ growth has been affected by competition from indie coffee shops and traditional fast food giants who have widened their menus to capture some of the coffee drinking market. Indie coffee shops are opening everywhere and have taken away the trend-focused millennials market, while the price-focused crowd is now going to McDonalds for their coffee. Changing consumer preferences have had a big influence on Starbuck’s recent performance. The competition has expanded their menu options and physical store locations to better reach a wider customer base which has drawn consumers away from Starbucks and resulted in the slow down of sales growth. As a result, Starbucks has embarked on a three-pronged response to the threats. The first is Starbucks’ mobile ordering and pay app which boosted sales last quarter. Mobile payments now account for 30% of Starbucks transactions in US stores up from 29% in Q2 and 27% in Q1. As Starbucks is concerned that it could lose its edge to independent coffee shops it has invested in opening high-end roasteries to maintain its upscale reputation as the second part of its response to the threat on sales growth. Starbucks intends to open 20 to 30 Roasteries, which are tourist-friendly mega-locations roasting coffee in-house and serving expensive drinks. For more detail : Starbucks might be about to surprise Wall Street
  14. In recent times, gold prices have fluctuated significantly. For example, from 2008-2013, gold prices increased by approximately 200% and reached an all-time high figure of $531.98 per 10 grams. Since then, it has been experiencing a decreasing trend with the current price being $430.28 per 10 grams. The unprecedented rise was mainly due to the global economic recession, which resulted in investment in gold instead of other failing financial instruments. In the context of gold prices, it is important to understand the basic forces which naturally or artificially control gold prices. Effect of global market indices and Oil prices on gold The global indices are known to have a significant effect on the gold prices worldwide. From December 2013, when the US NASDAQ rose by 10%, France’s CAC rose by 4.4%, Germany’s DAX rose by 2.78%, and Brazil’s Bovespa rose by 13%, the attractiveness of gold as a safe investment has declined. This has also contributed in generating a 5% decrease in global gold prices to $1,218/- troy ounce. When interest rates rise, the yields on bonds and other money market options also rise, and make them more attractive to investors in comparison to gold. In addition, it is believed that the price of gold is also affected by the price of oil to a large extent. Higher oil prices reflect slow growth and so investors are driven to find alternative sources of investment like gold. Financial terrorism in the gold market Contrary to widespread belief, it is important to understand that the price of gold is not determined in the markets where gold is bought and sold physically, but rather in paper futures markets where trade speculators place their bets on gold prices. The big hedge funds trade the various gold futures. When they buy, they pre-assign a ‘stop-loss’ order within their computer programs. The purpose of this stop-loss order is to sell at that specific price automatically. For more detail : Gold and terrorism
  15. Australia recently recorded its 104th consecutive quarter of growth without a recession, an achievement which breaks the record set by the Netherlands. It prompted Australia’s federal Treasurer Scott Morrison to claim that the economy was in “surprisingly good shape”. His statement is reminiscent of that old joke. How can you tell if a politician is lying? His lips are moving. Australia’s economy is not in good shape. Its growth has been built on demand for commodities like coal and steel from China and investment in an over-inflated property market that has been fuelled by years of cheap credit. These dual dependencies are about to be brutally exposed. The exact timing and full impact of Australia’s economic tailspin is unknown. However, a precise date and exact knowledge of its magnitude are unnecessary in order to take advantage of the collapse as a trader. The circumstances that make an economic crash inevitable are already in place and it is far better to be five months early rather than five minutes late for an opportunity like this. The inevitability of Australia’s financial meltdown is in part due to an external factor which it has no control over: China. Societe Generale’s China economist Wei Yao recently said: “Chinese banks are looking down the barrel of a staggering $1.7 trillion worth of losses”. Hyaman Capital’s Kyle Bass calls China a “$34 trillion experiment” which is “exploding”, where Chinese bank losses “could exceed 400% of the US banking losses incurred during the sub-prime crisis”. Simply put, if China’s economy bends Australia’s will buckle. Australia’s biggest export is iron ore and frequently the country’s main driver of a trade surplus and GDP growth with 81% of its iron ore exports going to China. However, demand for iron ore in China is falling because 50% of it comes from property development which in 2017 is under stress as prices level off and credit dries up. Critically, the price of iron ore has fallen 60% over the last 6 years. For more detail : Australia’s economy is going down and under
×