Jump to content

analyst75

Members
  • Content Count

    328
  • Points

    1027 
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Points

    0 [ Donate ]

Community Reputation

1 Neutral

About analyst75

  • Rank
    Advanced Money Maker

Recent Profile Visitors

4736 profile views
  1. THESE 4 TRAITS WILL MAKE TRADERS SUCCESSFUL If you have a passion for trading, Dr. Brett Steenbarger has some choice words for you: you're not going to make it. Instead, traders need to be passionate about markets. It may sound like a minor distinction, but it's not. In decades of working with billionaire hedge fund managers and traders, he's found that traders that are passionate about trading don't put in the work and trade too much. To be successful trading, Dr. Steenbarger has learned: 1. A rule of thumb for how traders should control losses so that they never lose more in a morning than they can make in an afternoon, more in a day than they can make in a week and more in a week than they can make in a month; 2. Why traders should not just focus on minimizing their weaknesses, but also maximizing their strengths; 3. A simple trading journal that will help you improve each day; and 4. That the best traders are ones that embrace losses and use them to become better. Author: Dr. Brett Steenbarger Source: https://blog.topsteptrader.com/brett-steenbarger-limit-up-futures-trading www.tallinex.com wants you to make money from the markets.
  2. TIMELY EXIT “Successful Trading Is Not About Being Right.” – VTI What is your tolerance for pain? Consider the following scenario. You have 10% of your account balance on the line. For the past two days, prices have been going in the direction you had anticipated, but today, an announcement was made that caused a market move that caused all your profits to be wiped out in an hour. What will you do? See if prices will move back to where you are okay again? At times like these, it is useful to have a clearly defined trading plan with a specific exit strategy. Trading is inherently uncertain. You never know exactly what will happen next. That’s what makes the business exciting to some traders but nerve wracking to others. How you handle adverse events that make prices move against you depends on your personality. The best way to protect your capital is to use protective stops. When formulating your trading plan, you must decide how much pain you can tolerate. How much money can you lose before you have to exit the trade? You can set this exit point as a formal stop loss, you can use the automatic settings on your trading platform to set a stop, or you can use a mental stop (not recommended). The problem with a formal stop loss procedure, whether it is a formal order or an automatic setting on your trading platform, is that a transitory change in price can ‘stop you out.’ if the placement of your stop loss does not adequately account for volatility. It’s hard to know how far a stock may move and a temporary drop can ruin your trading plan when a protective stop is not set properly. Mental stops may be more useful, but you run the risk of not being able to exercise your mental stop (think heart attack, nervous breakdown, stroke, personal emergency, computer failure, etc.). You can decide how far a stock price must move against you before you will liquidate the position. When prices reach the exit point, you can decide whether the low price is transitory or represents a significant change in trend. You can then exit the trade. This all sounds good in theory, but depending on your personality, you may not be able to carry out this strategy. If you have trouble controlling your emotions and you use a mental stop, for example, you may have trouble closing the trade when it reaches your exit point. Some people panic and out of fear don’t close their position when their mental stop is reached. These people may need to impose the proper amount of discipline on their trading actions by using an electronic stop or a formal stop-loss order. Minimizing trading losses is the hallmark of successful trading, but not all traders are equal when it comes to their ability to trade decisively under strain. If you want to trade profitably, you have to work around your personality. If you are cool headed, disciplined, and are willing to take the risk even under the most stressful conditions, you can use mental stops to protect your capital. But if you are easily shaken by choppy market action, you might want to use electronic, automatic stops to protect yourself. Whatever you do, however, minimize losses as much as possible. It’s the only way to trade profitably in the long run. Author: Joe Ross Source https://www.tradingeducators.com/edition-733 The article is ended with 3 quotes below: “Getting out of trades too early with tiny profits very often is a sure road to bankruptcy. Sure it feels good to take some off the table right away…but it’s hardly ever successful in the long run.” - Marco Mayer “To make money out of these still requires good management. It is always challenging to see some traders make money from a trade while some traders lose money from the very same trade.” – Joe Ross “Don’t let those losses lead to mindset traps that can stop you from taking the next trade. Change the way you think about your loss, and you’ll regain your motivation. I guarantee it.” – Louise Bedford www.tallinex.com wants you to make money from the markets.
  3. Do you want to be a successful trader? Then you need to unlock your potential and develop the right habits and routines. Experience shows that people want to keep doing what they are doing, while expecting different results. In trading, that means they carry on trading in a certain way even when it brings poor results. Making a career out of trading means you have to identify what doesn’t work for you, and stop doing it. But that’s not easy – nobody likes being told they are wrong. Your mind is the biggest obstacle that you need to overcome. It prevents you from following trading plans and deceives you into disobeying winning rules because of a transitory setback, thus missing great opportunities to make decent profits. You can only unlock your trading potential through the realities of trading. Unlock Your Potential with the Realities of Trading (almost free of charge): http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/unlockpotential/index.html www.tallinex.com wants you to become profitable
  4. http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/unlockpotential/index.html
  5. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (July 23 - 27, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral Price made a bullish attempt on Monday, but started coming down afterwards. The support line at 1.1600 was tested and price bounced off it, closing above another support line at 1.1700. The market is neutral, and that status will continue as long as price oscillates between the support line at 1.1550 and the resistance line at 1.1800. However, the neutrality in the market will soon end, and ensuing movement could most probably favor bulls. This means a break above the resistance line at 1.1800 is possible before the end of the week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Neutral This pair also went downwards at the beginning of last week, and then rallied around the middle of the week, only to come downward again at the end of the week. Price closed below the resistance level at 0.9950, threatening to go further downwards. The bias on the market is eventually neutral, and it would remain so until the support level at 0.9850 is breached to the downside. The most probable direction is southwards. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD is a weak trading instrument. Since April 14, price has been going downwards. Price moved briefly below the accumulation territory at 1.3000, and then rallied by 170 pips, almost reaching the distribution territory at 1.3150. The bias remains essentially bearish (but perpetual bullish effort could threaten the bearish bias). There are additional distribution territories 1.3200, 1.3250 and 1.3300. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish After testing the supply level at 113.00 several times, a bearish correction was started, which made the price close below the supply level at 111.50 on July 20 (a drop of 150 pips). The bias is bullish in the long-term, but going bearish in the short-term. Things will go completely bearish when price moves further downwards by another 200 pips, reaching the demand levels at 111.00, 110.50 and 110.00, and going further downwards. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The market had been going upwards since June 28 until recently. The recent bias is bullish but there is a high possibility of price going bearish. Price has made a bearish U-turn, after almost reaching the supply zone at 132.00. It is expected that price will continue to go downwards this week, thereby rendering the recent bullish bias invalid and reaching the demand zones at 130.00, 129.50 and 129.00. Those demand zones may even be exceeded before the end of July. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, as a result of a drop of 300 pips last week. The drop has already generated a bearish signal in the market, brought about by the perceived weakness in GBP, and the strength in JPY. This week (even till the end of July), the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish, and that means GBPJPY also will experience further bearish movement, which would enable it to reach the demand zones at 145.50, 140.00 and 135.50. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “A surprising insight for me in Jack Schwager’s Market Wizards was that most of the top traders he interviewed are 1-trick ponies: they do one thing — and they do it very well. Their success was built upon their ability to discover what others overlooked. I concluded that ‘doing one thing well’ would immediately simplify my trading life and could eventually evolve one thing into an important trading edge.” – VTI Source: www.tallinex.com
  6. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (July 16 - 20, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish In the long-term, the pair is bearish, and last week was bearish too. Price dropped by 140 pips, moved briefly below the support line at 1.1650, and then closed above it. This week, there could be a test of the support lines at 1.1650 and 1.1600, but they may not be broken to the downside because price has a high probability of going northwards, reaching the resistance lines at 1.1700, 1.1750 and 1.1800. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish Last week, owing to a sudden surge of stamina in USD, the pair skyrocketed, reaching the high of 1.0066. The test of that high is significant because the last time price reached that level was May 2017. Since the high of the year (1.0066) was tested, price has shown a sharp reversal, shedding 60 pips and closing at 1.0002 on July 13. Price might attempt to go further upwards, but it would encounter stiff opposition around the high of 1.0066. Even there will be stiffer opposition above the high of the year, like the resistance levels at 1.0150, 1.0200 and 1.0250. Movement towards the south may be more visible this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish In the long-term, Cable is bearish, and last week was bearish too. From the distribution territory at 1.3350, price dropped by 250 pips, and almost touched the accumulation territory at 1.3100, and then closed above the accumulation territory at 1.3200. This week, there could be a test of the accumulation territories at 1.3200 and 1.3150, but they may not be broken to the downside because price has a high probability of going northwards, reaching the distribution territories at 1.3250, 1.3300 and 1.3350. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Last week was bullish. In fact, the market has been going upwards since March 26, and it has gained close to 800 pips. A clean bullish run has taken price towards the supply level at 112.50 and there is a lot of trading activity around that level, as bears are making attempt to effect a bearish reversal. There are demand levels at 112.00, 111.50 and 111.00. However, price could go upwards to reach the supply levels at 113.50, 114.00 and 115.00. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross has become a bull market in the medium-term. Price gained 180 pips last week (it has gained over 650 pips since May 25), and managed to closed above the demand zone at 131.00. Short trades are not recommend in this market, owing to the Bullish Confirmation Pattern in it, and owing to the bullish outlook on EUR for this week and next. Price is thus expected to continue going upwards, reaching the supply zones at 131.50, 132.00 and 132.50. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish GBPJPY is a volatile market, though with a Bullish Confirmation Pattern present in it. This month has been bullish so far (the bullish movement started late June and it has been upheld till now). Having gained 500 pips since June 28, there is still much room for bulls to shine. This week, another 200 pips can be gained amid high volatility. Nonetheless, this does not rule out possibility of bears overpowering bulls along the way. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “You should not draw the conclusion that winning traders are reckless. They aren't. They approach trading systematically. They develop clearly defined trading plans and they trade them. They wait for market conditions that increase their odds of success. But most of all, they have a positive attitude. They know that if they do their homework and make enough trades, they will take home a profit.” – Joe Ross Source: www.tallinex.com
  7. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (July 9 - 13, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. Last week, after testing the support line at 1.1600, price went upwards by 150 pips, to test the resistance line at 1.1750. Price can still go further upwards towards the resistance lines at 1.1800 and 1.1850. However, a strong buying pressure is needed to reach the resistance line at 1.1850. A southwards movement from here would render this expectation invalid. USDCHF Dominant bias: Neutral The market is virtually flat. Since the past two weeks, price has moved between the support level at 0.9850 and the resistance level at 1.0000. As long as price moves between the aforementioned support and resistance levels, things will remain neutral. This week, it is not likely that price would break the support level at 0.9850 to the downside; or break the resistance level at 1.0000 to the upside, because much volatility is not expected in the market this week. However, before the end of the month, a rise in momentum is expected, which would create a directional bias. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD Is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term, just like EURUSD. Since testing the accumulation territory at 1.3100, price has gone upwards by roughly 200 pips, closing above the accumulation territory at 1.3250 and aiming the distribution territory at 1.3300. Nonetheless, the major outlook remains bearish, which means the market needs to gain, at least, another 300 pips, before the bias can turn bullish. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Since March 26, the market has been going northwards slowly and gradually. Right now, the bullish bias is weak, although bears have not been able to push price lower significantly. There was an attempt to go south last week, after the supply level at 111.00 was tested. Price closed slightly below the supply level at 110.50, and it may go towards the demand level at 110.00, where bearish effort should be contained, just for the bullish bias to be saved. EURJPY Dominant bias: Neutral This cross is bullish in the short-term, and neutral in the long-term. Some bullish effort started around the end of June, and it has been upheld till now. In the short-term, price could move upwards and downwards, within the supply zone at 131.00 and the demand zone at 128.00. Price may not be able to go beyond these boundaries because much volatility is not expected this month, unless some fundamental figure causes a radical change in the market. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Since June 28, this trading instrument has been going upwards, leading to a bullish bias in the short-term (a Bullish Confirmation Pattern). Last week ended on a bullish note and it is probable that price would continue going upwards, reaching the supply zones at 147.00, 147.50 and 148.00. There would be a reversal along the way, which would, nevertheless, not be serious enough to invalidate the ongoing bullish bias. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “But in trading, often the best solution is the simplest...” - Michael Carr Source: www.tallinex.com
  8. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (July 2 – 6, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market is bearish, but price was not able to go downwards seriously last week. Thus the market is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. A strong opposition was particularly met at the support line at 1.1550, after which price bounced off the support line. However, that would turn out to be an opportunity to go short at a better price, for the outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week. One major task for bears is to break the support line at 1.1550 to the downside, as price goes further downwards. USDCHF Dominant bias: Neutral The bias on this pair has become neutral, especially in the face of the fact that USDCHF was characterized by trendlessness throughout June. Last week, price went upwards, to move above the resistance level at 0.9950, and then moved below that resistance (now close to the support level at 0.9900). As long as EURUSD remains weak, there will not be a significant bearish movement on USDCHF pair this week (although the pair will eventually give way to bearish pressures before the end of July). GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market went smoothly downwards, testing the accumulation territory at 1.3050 (over 200 pips of bearish movement). After testing the accumulation territory at 1.3050, price rallied seriously and closed above the accumulation territory at 1.3200. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week, so a movement towards the accumulation territories at 1.3200, 1.3150 and 1.3100 are highly anticipated. There could even be a movement below the accumulation territory at 1.3100. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish A Bullish Confirmation Pattern is present on the USDJPY. In the short-term, price rallied from the demand level at 109.50, to close above the demand level at 110.50 on Friday. This week, there could be further upwards movement towards the supply levels at 111.00 and 111.50. However, price is not expected to go further upwards than that because the outlook on certain JPY pairs is bearish for the month of July. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. In short-term, a movement above the demand zone at 129.00 has resulted in a ‘buy” signal, which could enable price to reach the supply zones at 129.50 and 130.000, However, any movement to the upside would be limited, partly because of the ongoing weakness in EUR, which means price could also be retraced lower before the end of this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Owing to the present Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart, the bias on this trading instrument is bearish, but the strong bullish surge that was witnessed on Friday has posed a threat to the bearish outlook. On Thursday and Friday, price gained 250 pips, after testing the demand zone at 144.00. Should price gain another 200 pips this week, things will turn completely bullish. On the other hand, a downward movement from here would save the bearish bias. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “There are opportunities… It’s a matter of seeking them out, in the biggest playground of all... the markets.” – Louise Bedford Source: www.tallinex.com
  9. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 25 - 29, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market swung upwards and downwards last week, without a directional movement. Nevertheless, the major bias remains bearish, and the outlook on EUR pairs is mostly bearish for this week. It is possible that price will test the support lines at 1.1600, 1.1550 (which were previously tested last week). Price may also reach the support line at 1.1500, and possibly breach it to the downside. But that will require a heavy selling pressure. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish Price went sideways from Monday to Wednesday, and fell on Thursday and Friday, corroborating the outgoing bearish outlook on the market. Both USDCHF and EURUSD are currently bearish: But protracted bearish pressure on the latter may help a bullish signal to be generated on the former. There are support levels at 0.9850 and 0.9800. There are also resistance levels at 0.9900 and 0.9950. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish In the context of a downtrend, price went further southwards, shedding 160 pips and almost testing the accumulation territory at 1.3100. There was an upwards bounce on Thursday, but that would be an opportunity to sell short at higher prices (unless the distribution territory at 1.3400 is breached to the upside). GBP pairs (as well as other major pairs) will experience high volatility this week, and also in the first week of July. USDJPY Dominant bias: Neutral The long-term bias is bullish, but the short-term bias is bearish. Throughout last week, price meandered between the demand level at 109.50 and the supply level at 111.00. Should price continue to move within the confines of the aforementioned demand and supply levels, the short-term bias would remain neutral. Once the confines are breached, a directional movement will resume, and it could most likely favor bulls. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Just like its USDJPY counterpart, this cross mostly ranged last week (though the recent bias on the market is bearish). For the ranging movement to end, it is either price will breach the demand zone at 127.00 to the downside (going further downwards), or price would need to breach the supply zone at 129.00 to the upside (going further upwards). One of these conditions must be met for the bearish bias to be supported or invalidated; otherwise the trend would become neutral. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross underwent a heavy selling pressure on July 18 and 19, but bulls pushed price upwards on July 20 and 21. There remains a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and it would be invalidated only when price moves upwards by 500 pips from here. On the other hand, price could continue falling towards the demand zones at 145.00, 144.50 and 144.00. Price could even go further downwards than that. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Trading is a process-oriented endeavor for those who are serious about becoming and remaining a consistently successful trader.” – Dr. Woody Johnson Source: www.tallinex.com
  10. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 18 - 22, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market began the current strong bearish movement in April. This month (especially from early June), price consolidated till June 14, before the large pullback we are currently witnessing. The large pullback has put more emphasis on the dominant bearish bias; thus price is expected to go further southwards this week, reaching the support lines at 1.1600 (an easy target), 1.1550 and 1.1500. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This pair is bearish in the long-term, but bullish in the short-term. It is somewhat weird that both USDCHF and EURUSD have been bearish for some time, but the situation seems about to change. On June 14, there was a sudden bullish breakout, which was strong enough to bring about a short-term bullish signal. There is a possibility that price could keep on going northwards this week, reaching the resistance levels at 1.0000 (an important level), 1.0050 and 1.0100. However, an exceptionally strong buying pressure would be needed for the resistance level at 1.0100 to be reached. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish In the first week of June, Cable consolidated in the context of a downtrend. The same thing happened last week…. before the bearish movement that occurred on Thursday, which points to bears’ supremacy. The weakness in the market is currently visible and since the outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this month, further southwards movement is expected, which would enable price to reach the accumulation territories at 1.3250, 1.3200 and 1.3150. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish USDJPY managed to go upwards last week, and it was able to close above the demand level at 110.50 on Friday. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which points to the possibility of price going towards the supply levels at 111.00, 111.50 and 112.00. Nonetheless, the further northwards the market goes, the greater the potential of a strong pullback, which can happen before the end of the week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The pullback that occurred on April 14 points to the fact that bears are still a force to reckon with. The major bias on the market is bearish, and since EUR is currently weak, price is supposed to continue moving downwards. The outlook on JPY is bearish for this week – another factor that may contribute to continuous weakness in the market. The next targets are the demand zones at 128.00, 127.50 and 127.00. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument simply moved in a range last week. Price ranged between the supply zone at 148.00 and the demand zone at 146.00. This week, either the supply zone or the demand zone would be breached forcefully as price assumes a strong, directional movement. The most likely direction is bearish (which may invalidate the extant bullish bias), and that may enable price to reach the demand zones at 146.50, 146.00 and 145.50. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Trading is a process-oriented endeavor for those who are serious about becoming and remaining a consistently successful trader.” – Dr. Woody Johnson, not used Source: www.tallinex.com
  11. Note: This article shows why the use of stop loss is 100% mandatory, despite what suicide traders (who call themselves professionals may say). This article comes from someone with over 60 years of experience in various financial markets. Would you ever think of jumping out of an airplane without a parachute? Of course not, but that's what some people do when they trade the markets. They are very willing to put their money on the line, but they don't have much to protect them from a major disaster. Placing a stop, for example, can prevent you from allowing a small loss to turn into a big one, but many traders avoid placing stops. Why do some traders take risks by not placing stops? It can be difficult to know where to place a stop. If you fail to account for volatility, you will get stopped out too soon. Other people are afraid to place stops. Placing a stop requires you to consider the worst-case scenario, and to many, it's difficult to consider failure. It's easier to deny the potential problem, and to pretend it will not possibly happen. Many experts, however, suggest placing stops. They know that nothing is certain when trading the markets. They view protective stops as a kind of insurance policy that prevents a catastrophic loss. One seasoned trader I talked to, says "I never take a trade without knowing my stop. When I take a trade, I'm pretty convinced it's something worthwhile. I've already figured out my stop. I've accepted the (potential) loss before I ever clicked the button or made the call. So if it starts going against me, I don't feel a flood of emotions." For that trader, stops not only protect him from losses, but they help him control his emotions. Stops give him a feeling of security, and allow him to feel calm and relaxed. Experienced traders may use stops all the time, but even the most experienced traders have difficulty following them. For example, one trader I know, admits, "I've blown stops and it's painful. The weird thing is that money does not seem to be driving it. Afterwards, I sit and try to analyze the incident. I certainly knew better. I believe trading is something of a self-journey. It involves learning about your character, your self-control, and your ego." Still another trader also admits he blows his stops: "Sure. That happens all the time. There's nothing I can do about it. That's one of challenges that continue to engross me. Do you hold them or do you fold them? If you fold a long position and prices go up, you get angry because you made a mistake. If you hold a long position and prices go down, you become angry again. Nevertheless, you have to stay focused on what's going on and learn from the experience and try to apply it to the future. You're going to take your lumps in the market." Even though stops are difficult to set and difficult to keep at times, they are an essential component of risk management. Losses are commonplace in trading. As hard as it is to focus on losses, they are impossible to avoid. Rather than avoid thinking of the worst-case scenario, face it head on. Figure out what could go wrong and where you can place a stop to protect you from a huge financial loss. In the long run, you'll find you will limit losses and trade more profitably. Author: Joe Ross Source: TradingEducators.com The note below ends this piece. “So, what is a trader to do? Well, one of the things to do is to re-evaluate the way you envision the markets and your relationship to loss. What you want to develop is an I don’t care attitude regarding your trading. You must look at the markets as being exactly what they are, totally unpredictable. No matter how good a level looks, it is not a foregone conclusion that any particular outcome is definite. What we look for is the high probability trade. There are times when the probability may get very close to 100%, but no matter how close it gets it can never be 100%. This means that whenever you enter a trade you must embrace it as a possibility for loss. When you do this, it detaches you from the loss potential because you are prepared for it. Of course, you already have begun this process whether you realize it or not. You have put in a hard stop! This is imperative. The stop’s first and main job is to protect your capital. If your capital is gone you cannot trade, so it follows that this is the most important part of your trading; and, of course it is derived from an appropriate risk calculation.” – Dr. Woody Johnson (Source: TradingAcademy.com) www.tallinex.com wants you to make money from the markets.
  12. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 11 - 15, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in a very short-term. Since May 30, price has been making a measure of bullish attempt (save the correction that was witnessed on Friday). A movement above the resistance lines at 1.1850, 1.1900 and 1.1950 will bring about a long-term bullish outlook on the market. On the other hand, a movement below the support lines at 1.1650, 1.1600 and 1.1550, will cancel the short-term bullishness in the market, while strengthening the major bearish outlook. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish The market has been caught in a slow and gradual bearish movement since May 10 (over 230 pips). It is possible that the market would continue going further downwards (albeit slowly), especially when EURUSD gains a lot of stamina. The support levels at 0.9800 (which has previously been tested), 0.9750 and 0.9700, would be reached soon, and that might bring about a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Although there is currently a bearish trend in the market, price made faint effort to go upwards last week. It is much more likely that the faint bullish effort will eventually translate into a significant rally this week, because the outlook on GBP pairs is bullish. The distribution territories at 1.3450, 1.3500 and 1.3550 would be reached. This will eventually invalidate the bearish bias on the market, as everything turns bullish. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. In the last two weeks, price has generally oscillated between the demand level at 108.50 and the supply level at 110.50. As long as price continues to oscillate between those demand and supply levels, the short-term bias would be neutral. A break above the supply level at 110.50 will result in confirmation of the existing long-term bullish outlook while a break below the demand level at 108.50 will result in a clean bearish outlook. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The bias on the EURJPY has just turned bullish. Since May 30, price has rallied by 500 pips, reaching the supply zone at 130.00, before the current bearish correction (which happened on June 8). A test of the demand zone at 127.50 will threaten the new bullish bias on the market; while a movement towards the supply zones at 129.50, 130.00 and 130.50 will strengthen it. There will be a measure of volatility in the market this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Although a bearish correction was experienced on Thursday and Friday, the bias on the market remains bullish. A sideways movement throughout this week will bring about a neutral bias on the market. A drop of 150 – 200 pips will result in a bearish signal, while a movement towards the supply zones at 147.50, 148.00 and 148.50, will save the ongoing bullish outlook on the market. It is much more likely that bulls would be able to hold out this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Once you know how to trade, no-one and nothing can sweep aside your skill. It’s something you can do no matter how old you are. As long as you have a dream in your heart that you yearn for, the sun never has to set on your identity as a ‘trader’.” – Louise Bedford Source: www.tallinex.com
  13. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 4 - 8, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The pair trended downwards in the first few days of last week, and then started a bullish correction on May 30. Price went upwards by 200 pips in the context of a downtrend, but the movement was not significant enough to override the extant bearishness in the market (except the resistance line at 1.1800 is exceeded). The outlook for EUR pair is strongly bearish for this week and for this month, and so bulls should be careful. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish USDCHF has been moving downwards in the past few weeks; which was an unusual thing, considering the fact that it usually goes in a negative correlation with EURUSD. However, the situation will change this week, as USD is expected to begin gathering stamina at some point (before the end of the week). This would aid a strong bullish reversal in USDCHF and put more bearish pressure on EURUSD. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Cable has been trending southwards for almost two months: Therefore the shallow rally that was seen on Friday is a totally insignificant thing. Price has dropped about 1,100 pips since April 17, and that is just the beginning. The outlook on GBP pairs is mostly bearish for June, and as a result, directional long trades may not make much sense this month. GBPUSD tends to go into positive correlation with EURUSD, and the accumulation territories at 1.3300, 1.3250 and 1.3200 would be reached before the end of the week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long –term, but bearish in the short-term. Since March 26, a long-term bullish journey started, but short-term bearish effort was also started on May 21. The short-term bearishness is still in place and it is supposed to override the long-term bullish bias on the market. This is because there is a very strong bearish outlook on JPY pairs this month, and so, USDJPY would eventually become like other JPY pairs, which are already bearish. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in this market, as a result of a vivid weakness that began in the market in April 16. Price has shed roughly 700 pips since then. Last week, the bearish journey continued as price rammed into the demand zone at 125.00, and then bounced upwards (300 pips), without being able to form a confirmed bullish bias. This week, a bearish reversal is expected, because of the weakness in EUR and owing to the bearish outlook on JPY pairs. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish In the first half of last week, this cross dropped and then started rising in the second half of the week. However, the major bias remains bearish and the rally that was seen was an opportunity to sell short dearly. Since GBP is weak and JPY is expected to gain further stamina, a bearish movement of at least 500 pips is expected in the month of June, and that may start before the end of this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “You have to study the markets and learn how to take out profits from the market action… You can build up your trading skills through practice and experience and feel good knowing that you have mastered a skill that few have developed.” – Joe Ross Source: www.tallinex.com
  14. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 28 – June 1, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish There is a very strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern on EURUSD. Price went southwards by 100 pips last week (it has gone south by almost 750 pips since April 19). The line at 1.1650 has been tested and breached to the downside, slightly. This week, further bearish movement is a possibility, and the support lines at 1.1600 and 1.1550 can be reached as well. However, there is also a possibility of a bullish reversal before the end of the week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, and bearish in the short-term. Last week, price turned southwards, testing the level at 0.9900 several times and eventually closing below it on Friday. One reason why the market became bearish in the short-term is the strength in CHF. CHF still strong, as evident on major CHF pairs. The market can thus reach the support levels at 0.9850 and 0.9800, thereby erasing the long-term bullish outlook on the market. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair went southwards last week, closing below distribution territory at 1.3300 on Friday. Price shed almost 170 pips last week, and it has shed 1,050 pips since April 17 (an ideal market condition for trend followers). The GBP remains very week, and it is not advisable to seek long trades here, except to go short on rallies. The market is expected to lose at least, additional 150 pips this week, reaching the accumulation territory at 1.3150. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The trend is also bearish in the short-term, but bullish in the long-term. From the high of last week, price went downwards by 230 pips, to test the demand level at 109.00, closing above it on May 25. Further bearish movement is expected this week, and this may affect the long-term bullish bias, as the demand levels at 109.00, 108.50 and 108.00 are aimed, for there is a considerable stamina in Yen. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The downwards movement that happened last week has put an end to the recent sideways movement that was seen in the market. From May 9 to 22, the market consolidated in the context of a downtrend, and at last, there was a breakout in favor of sellers. This has really put more emphasis on the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, coupled with the weakness in EUR. This week, the demand zones at 127.00, 126.50 and 126.00 may be reached. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The bias on GBPJPY is bearish and it should continue to be bearish. GBP is weak and JPY is strong. Besides, there was a huge drop of over 450 pips last week, slashing more and more demand zones as bears rejoiced. Since April 17, more than 800 pips have been shed, and this just seems to be the beginning, as stronger bearishness is anticipated. At least, another 200 pips would be shed this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “…Trading appeals to so many of us. It generates a sense of freedom – a notion that we can do it from anywhere at anytime. The engagement with the market is at our own timing and on our own terms. We can in essence wander in and out whenever we want. Our movement is not at the behest of someone else and it not set according to their timetable. The nomad in us is fulfilled as a trader.” – Chris Tate Source: www.tallinex.com
  15. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 21 - 25, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair trended downwards last week, testing the support line at 1.1750. The market went essentially sideways on Thursday and Friday, and may go below the support line at 1.1750, to target another support line at 1.1700. About 250 pips have been lost this month, and it just seems to be the beginning. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week (EUR would be seen going downwards versus major currencies). USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. Price has been consolidating in the past two weeks; whereas that is not strong enough to render the recent bullish bias useless. There is going to be a breakout at last, but the movement to the upside will no longer be a serious thing. While USDCHF is supposed to go upwards, there would be a challenge to the upwards move, because CHF is expected to gain serious stamina this week (major currencies will drop versus it). This means that the coming strength in CHF may hinder USDCHF from getting seriously pushed further northwards. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The Cable is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. The bearish movement that started last month, has continued this month (although price has been ranging in the short-term). There remains a valid Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, despite the fact that it has been ranging in the last two weeks. A breakout is imminent, which would most probably favor bears. The accumulation territories at 1.3450, 1.3400 and 1.3350 could be reached thus week. . USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The bullish movement that was witnessed last week has saved the ongoing bullish bias in the market. The bullish movement started in March 2018 and it has held out till now. The supply level at 111.00 was tested before price closed below it on Friday. This week, there is a high probability that the market would continue going upwards, reaching the supply levels at 111.00, 111.50 and 112.00. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The bias on this cross is bearish, but it is a precarious bias. What the market did last week was a zigzag movement without a clear directional propensity. Price moved upwards, downwards, and upwards again, within the supply zone at 131.50 and the demand zone at 129.50. A 200 –pip movement to the upside or to the downside would easily change the bias to bullish or bearish, and that is exactly what is expected this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The market is bullish, at least, in the very short-term. The current bullishness (which is not very strong), started on May 8, and it has been dragged on in spite of constant interferences from bears. Price succeeded in moving further northwards last week, almost reaching the supply zone at 150.00, before closing below it on May 18. This week, too much weakness in GBP could frustrate a clean bullish movement. Nevertheless, the supply zone at 150.00, might once again, be breached. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “According to Kermit the Frog, it’s not easy being green. For skillful traders, it’s not hard to be green. May your trades be green.” – attributed Source: www.tallinex.com
×